气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Vulnerability of glacier change in the Tianshan Mountains region of China

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DOI	10.1007/s11442-021-1907-z
	Vulnerability of glacier change in the Tianshan Mountains region of China
	Cai Xingran; Li Zhongqin; Zhang Hui; Xu Chunhai
通讯作者	Li, ZQ (通讯作者)，Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Cryospher Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	1009-637X
EISSN	1861-9568
起始页码	1469
结束页码	1489
卷号	31 期号:10
英文摘要	The glacier is a crucial freshwater resource in arid and semiarid regions, and the vulnerability of the glacier change is intimately linked to regional ecological services and socio-economic sustainability. Taking the Tianshan Mountains region in China as an example, a basic framework for studying the vulnerability of glacier change was constructed so as to address factors such as physical geography, population status, socio-economic level, agricultural development, and social services. The framework was based on key dimensions, that is, exposure, sensitivity, and adaptability, and this constituted a targeted evaluation index system. We examined the spatial structure and spatial autocorrelation of the glacier change vulnerability using ArcGIS and GeoDa software. The influence and interaction of natural, social, economic, population and other factors on glacier change adaptability was examined using the GeoDetector model. The results suggested the following: (1) The vulnerability level decreased from the western region to the eastern region with significant differences between the two regions. The eastern region had the lowest vulnerability, followed by the central region, and then western region which had the highest vulnerability. (2) Significant positive and negative correlations were found between exposure, sensitivity, and adaptability, indicating that the areas with high exposure and high sensitivity to glacier change tended to have a low adaptive capacity, which led to high vulnerability, and vice versa. (3) The spatial heterogeneity regarding the ability to cope with glacier change reflected the combined effects of the natural, social, economic, and demographic factors. Among them, factors such as the production value of secondary and tertiary industries, the urban population, urban fixed-asset investment, and the number of employees played major roles regarding the spatial heterogeneity of glacier change.
关键词	CLIMATE-CHANGE WATER-RESOURCES RETREAT
英文关键词	glacier change; vulnerability; adaptability; GeoDetector model; Tianshan Mountains; China
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Physical Geography
WOS类目	Geography, Physical
WOS记录号	WOS:000702396300005
来源期刊	JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES
来源机构	中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/254132
作者单位	[Cai Xingran; Li Zhongqin; Zhang Hui; Xu Chunhai] Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Cryospher Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China; [Cai Xingran] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China; [Xu Chunhai] Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Natl Cryosphere Desert Data Ctr, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Cai Xingran,Li Zhongqin,Zhang Hui,et al. Vulnerability of glacier change in the Tianshan Mountains region of China[J]. 中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院,2021,31(10).
APA	Cai Xingran,Li Zhongqin,Zhang Hui,&Xu Chunhai.(2021).Vulnerability of glacier change in the Tianshan Mountains region of China.JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,31(10).
MLA	Cai Xingran,et al."Vulnerability of glacier change in the Tianshan Mountains region of China".JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES 31.10(2021).