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DOI10.3390/d13120682
The Influence of Climate Change on Three Dominant Alpine Species under Different Scenarios on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau
Hu, Huawei; Wei, Yanqiang; Wang, Wenying; Wang, Chunya
通讯作者Wei, YQ (通讯作者),Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Eco Environm & Resources, Key Lab Remote Sensing Gansu Prov, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China. ; Wang, WY (通讯作者),Qinghai Normal Univ, Coll Life Sci, Xining 810008, Peoples R China.
发表日期2021
EISSN1424-2818
卷号13期号:12
英文摘要The Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP) with high altitude and low temperature is one of the most sensitive areas to climate change and has recently experienced continuous warming. The species distribution on the QTP has undergone significant changes especially an upward shift with global warming in the past decades. In this study, two dominant trees (Picea crassifolia Kom and Sabina przewalskii Kom) and one dominant shrub (Potentilla parvifolia Fisch) were selected and their potential distributions using the MaxEnt model during three periods (current, the 2050s and the 2070s) were predicted. The predictions were based on four shared socio-economic pathway (SSPs) scenarios, namely, SSP2.6, SSP4.5, SSP7.0, SSP8.5. The predicted current potential distribution of three species was basically located in the northeastern of QTP, and the distribution of three species was most impacted by aspect, elevation, temperature seasonality, annual precipitation, precipitation of driest month, Subsoil CEC (clay), Subsoil bulk density and Subsoil CEC (soil). There were significant differences in the potential distribution of three species under four climate scenarios in the 2050s and 2070s including expanding, shifting, and shrinking. The total suitable habitat for Picea crassifolia shrank under SSP2.6, SSP4.5, SSP7.0 and enlarged under SSP8.5 in the 2070s. On the contrary, the total suitable habitat for Sabina przewalskii enlarged under SSP2.6, SSP4.5, SSP7.0 and shrank under SSP8.5 in the 2070s. The total suitable habitat for Potentilla parvifolia continued to increase with SSP2.6 to SSP8.5 in the 2070s. The average elevation in potentially suitable habitat for Potentilla parvifolia all increased except under SSP8.5 in the 2050s. Our study provides an important reference for the conservation of Picea crassifolia, Sabina przewalskii, Potentilla parvifolia and other dominant plant species on the QTP under future climate change.
关键词DISTRIBUTIONSVEGETATIONMAXENTELEVATIONMODELSSYSTEMSHIFTSRANGECHINASHRUB
英文关键词climate change; potential distribution; MaxEnt model; suitable habitat; average elevation
语种英语
WOS研究方向Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology
WOS记录号WOS:000737051900001
来源期刊DIVERSITY-BASEL
来源机构中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/253990
作者单位[Hu, Huawei] Qinghai Normal Univ, Coll Geosci, Xining 810008, Peoples R China; [Hu, Huawei; Wei, Yanqiang] Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Eco Environm & Resources, Key Lab Remote Sensing Gansu Prov, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China; [Wang, Wenying] Qinghai Normal Univ, Coll Life Sci, Xining 810008, Peoples R China; [Wang, Chunya] Chinese Acad Sci, Chengdu Inst Biol, Chengdu 610041, Peoples R China; [Wang, Chunya] Chengdu Univ Technol, Earth Sci Coll, Chengdu 610059, Peoples R China
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GB/T 7714
Hu, Huawei,Wei, Yanqiang,Wang, Wenying,et al. The Influence of Climate Change on Three Dominant Alpine Species under Different Scenarios on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau[J]. 中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院,2021,13(12).
APA Hu, Huawei,Wei, Yanqiang,Wang, Wenying,&Wang, Chunya.(2021).The Influence of Climate Change on Three Dominant Alpine Species under Different Scenarios on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau.DIVERSITY-BASEL,13(12).
MLA Hu, Huawei,et al."The Influence of Climate Change on Three Dominant Alpine Species under Different Scenarios on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau".DIVERSITY-BASEL 13.12(2021).
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