气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Detection and attribution of summer temperature changes in China during the last millennium

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DOI	10.1002/joc.7595
	Detection and attribution of summer temperature changes in China during the last millennium
	Wang, Zhiyuan; Wang, Jianglin; Jia, Jia; Shi, Xiaoyi; Wang, Sisi; Pan, Chunhua
通讯作者	Wang, ZY (通讯作者)，Zhejiang Normal Univ, Coll Geog & Environm Sci, Jinhua 321004, Zhejiang, Peoples R China. ; Wang, JL (通讯作者)，Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Key Lab Desert & Desertificat, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0899-8418
EISSN	1097-0088
英文摘要	The last millennium (LM, 1000-1850 AD) is crucial for studying historical climate change on decadal to multidecadal timescales. The summer surface air temperature (SAT) evolutions on regional scales (e.g. over China) are more uncertain than the globe/Northern Hemisphere, especially in response to external forcing factors and internal climate variability. Here, we provide one-signal (full-forcing) fingerprints of summer SAT in China derived from three large ensemble model archives with a multi-proxy reconstruction during the LM, Little Ice Age (LIA, 1451-1850 AD), and Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA, 1000-1250 AD), respectively. Our results show that (a) SATs in the northeast, southeast, northwest, and Tibetan Plateau (TP) regions of China show evident decreasing trends during the LM. External forcing response from all model archives agrees with the regional SAT reconstruction but underestimates variability in northwest China at the multidecadal timescale. (b) During the LIA, the summer regional SAT exhibits a cold condition in the reconstruction and simulations, especially in the northeast and northwest regions of China. External forcing responses in most model archives are the dominant factor on multidecadal SAT evolutions in the southeast, northeast, and TP regions of China and decadal SAT evolutions in northwest China. (c) During the MCA, detection and attribution of SAT shows that internal climate variability dominates in southeast, northeast, and TP regions of China, but external forcing dominates in northwest China at decadal to multidecadal timescales. These results contribute to a better understanding of the causes and mechanisms of regional climate change.
关键词	1.5 DEGREES-C SEA-ICE LOSS TIBETAN PLATEAU AIR-TEMPERATURE CLIMATE-CHANGE ANTHROPOGENIC FORCINGS MONSOON PRECIPITATION SURFACE-TEMPERATURE MEAN TEMPERATURE WARMING HIATUS
英文关键词	China; detection and attribution; last millennium; summer surface air temperature
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:000769394900001
来源期刊	INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
来源机构	中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/253986
作者单位	[Wang, Zhiyuan; Jia, Jia; Shi, Xiaoyi; Wang, Sisi; Pan, Chunhua] Zhejiang Normal Univ, Coll Geog & Environm Sci, Jinhua 321004, Zhejiang, Peoples R China; [Wang, Jianglin] Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Key Lab Desert & Desertificat, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wang, Zhiyuan,Wang, Jianglin,Jia, Jia,et al. Detection and attribution of summer temperature changes in China during the last millennium[J]. 中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院,2020.
APA	Wang, Zhiyuan,Wang, Jianglin,Jia, Jia,Shi, Xiaoyi,Wang, Sisi,&Pan, Chunhua.(2020).Detection and attribution of summer temperature changes in China during the last millennium.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY.
MLA	Wang, Zhiyuan,et al."Detection and attribution of summer temperature changes in China during the last millennium".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2020).