气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Difficult climate-adaptive decisions in forests as complex social-ecological systems

CCPortal

DOI	10.1073/pnas.2108326119
	Difficult climate-adaptive decisions in forests as complex social-ecological systems
	Findlater K.; Kozak R.; Hagerman S.
发表日期	2022
ISSN	0027-8424
卷号	119 期号:4
英文摘要	Climate change threatens the social, ecological, and economic benefits enjoyed by forest-dependent communities worldwide. Climateadaptive forest management strategies such as genomics-based assisted migration (AM) may help protect many of these threatened benefits. However, such novel technological interventions in complex social-ecological systems will generate new risks, benefits, and uncertainties that interact with diverse forest values and preexisting risks. Using data from 16 focus groups in British Columbia, Canada, we show that different stakeholders (forestry professionals, environmental nongovernmental organizations, local government officials, and members of local business communities) emphasize different kinds of risks and uncertainties in judging the appropriateness of AM. We show the difficulty of climate-adaptive decisions in complex social-ecological systems in which both climate change and adaptation will have widespread and cascading impacts on diverse nonclimate values. Overarching judgments about AM as an adaptation strategy, which may appear simple when elicited in surveys or questionnaires, require that participants make complex trade-offs among multiple domains of uncertain and unknown risks. Overall, the highest-priority forest management objective for most stakeholders is the health and integrity of the forest ecosystem from which all other important forest values derive. The factor perceived as riskiest is our lack of knowledge of how forest ecosystems work, which hinders stakeholders in their assessment of AM's acceptability. These results are further evidence of the inherent risk in privileging natural science above other forms of knowledge at the science-policy interface. When decisions are framed as technical, the normative and ethical considerations that define our fundamental goals are made invisible. © 2022 National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
英文关键词	British Columbia; Climate change adaptation; Forests; Genomics-based assisted migration; Judgment and decision-making
语种	英语
scopus关键词	adult; article; British Columbia; climate change; decision making; female; forest management; genomics; human; human experiment; male; non-governmental organization; questionnaire; uncertainty; Canada; ecosystem; forest; forest management; government
来源期刊	Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/250888
作者单位	Faculty of Forestry, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada; Institute for Resources Environment and Sustainability, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada; School of Public Policy and Global Affairs, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Findlater K.,Kozak R.,Hagerman S.. Difficult climate-adaptive decisions in forests as complex social-ecological systems[J],2022,119(4).
APA	Findlater K.,Kozak R.,&Hagerman S..(2022).Difficult climate-adaptive decisions in forests as complex social-ecological systems.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,119(4).
MLA	Findlater K.,et al."Difficult climate-adaptive decisions in forests as complex social-ecological systems".Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 119.4(2022).