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DOI10.1038/s41467-021-22657-4
Phenological shifts in lake stratification under climate change
Woolway R.I.; Sharma S.; Weyhenmeyer G.A.; Debolskiy A.; Golub M.; Mercado-Bettín D.; Perroud M.; Stepanenko V.; Tan Z.; Grant L.; Ladwig R.; Mesman J.; Moore T.N.; Shatwell T.; Vanderkelen I.; Austin J.A.; DeGasperi C.L.; Dokulil M.; La Fuente S.; Mackay E.B.; Schladow S.G.; Watanabe S.; Marcé R.; Pierson D.C.; Thiery W.; Jennings E.
发表日期2021
ISSN2041-1723
卷号12期号:1
英文摘要One of the most important physical characteristics driving lifecycle events in lakes is stratification. Already subtle variations in the timing of stratification onset and break-up (phenology) are known to have major ecological effects, mainly by determining the availability of light, nutrients, carbon and oxygen to organisms. Despite its ecological importance, historic and future global changes in stratification phenology are unknown. Here, we used a lake-climate model ensemble and long-term observational data, to investigate changes in lake stratification phenology across the Northern Hemisphere from 1901 to 2099. Under the high-greenhouse-gas-emission scenario, stratification will begin 22.0 ± 7.0 days earlier and end 11.3 ± 4.7 days later by the end of this century. It is very likely that this 33.3 ± 11.7 day prolongation in stratification will accelerate lake deoxygenation with subsequent effects on nutrient mineralization and phosphorus release from lake sediments. Further misalignment of lifecycle events, with possible irreversible changes for lake ecosystems, is also likely. © 2021, The Author(s).
语种英语
scopus关键词phosphorus; climate change; global change; greenhouse gas; lake ecosystem; Northern Hemisphere; phenology; stratification; air temperature; Article; carbon footprint; climate change; comparative study; deoxygenation; environmental monitoring; greenhouse effect; lake ecosystem; lake sediment; mineralization; nonhuman; Northern Hemisphere; nutrient; phenology; season; spring; summer; surface area; water residence time; water temperature; wind speed
来源期刊Nature Communications
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/250710
作者单位Centre for Freshwater and Environmental Studies, Dundalk Institute of Technology, Dundalk, Ireland; European Space Agency Climate Office, ECSAT, Didcot, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom; Department of Biology, York University, ON, Toronto, Canada; Department of Ecology and Genetics/Limnology, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden; Research Computing Center, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russian Federation; Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Russian Academy of Science, Moscow, Russian Federation; Moscow Center of Fundamental and Applied Mathematics, Moscow, Russian Federation; Catalan Institute for Water Research, Girona, Spain; University of Girona, Girona, Spain; University of Geneva, Institute for Environmental Sciences, Genève, Switzerland; Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Washington, United States; Department of Hydrology and Hydraulic Engineering, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium; Center for Limnology, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI, United States; Depart...
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Woolway R.I.,Sharma S.,Weyhenmeyer G.A.,et al. Phenological shifts in lake stratification under climate change[J],2021,12(1).
APA Woolway R.I..,Sharma S..,Weyhenmeyer G.A..,Debolskiy A..,Golub M..,...&Jennings E..(2021).Phenological shifts in lake stratification under climate change.Nature Communications,12(1).
MLA Woolway R.I.,et al."Phenological shifts in lake stratification under climate change".Nature Communications 12.1(2021).
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