气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Cross-border climate vulnerabilities of the European Union to drought

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41467-021-23584-0
	Cross-border climate vulnerabilities of the European Union to drought
	Ercin E.; Veldkamp T.I.E.; Hunink J.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	2041-1723
卷号	12 期号:1
英文摘要	European Union’s vulnerability to climate change stretches far beyond its borders because many of its economic sectors, such as meat and dairy, use raw materials sourced from far afield. Cross-border climate vulnerability is a relatively new subject in scientific literature, while of high societal and economic relevance. We quantify these climate vulnerabilities with a focus on drought risk and assessed them for 2030, 2050, 2085 and for RCP 2.6 and 6.0 climate scenarios. Here we find that more than 44% of the EU agricultural imports will become highly vulnerable to drought in future because of climate change. The drought severity in production locations of the agricultural imports in 2050 will increase by 35% compared to current levels of drought severity. This is particularly valid for imports that originate from Brazil, Indonesia, Vietnam, Thailand, India and Turkey. At the same time, imports from Russia, Nigeria, Peru, Ecuador, Uganda and Kenya will be less vulnerable in future. We also report that the climate vulnerabilities of meat and dairy, chocolate (cocoa), coffee, palm oil-based food and cosmetic sectors mainly lie outside the EU borders rather than inside. © 2021, The Author(s).
语种	英语
scopus关键词	cosmetic; palm oil; agricultural production; climate change; drought; European Union; risk assessment; vulnerability; agriculture; Article; Brazil; chocolate; climate change; coffee; controlled study; dairy product; drought; European Union; India; Indonesia; Kenya; meat; Thailand; Turkey (republic); Viet Nam; Brazil; Ecuador; Indonesia; Kenya; Nigeria; Russian Federation; Turkey; Meleagris gallopavo
来源期刊	Nature Communications
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/250675
作者单位	R2Water Research and Consultancy, Amsterdam, Netherlands; Institute for Environmental Studies, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands; Amsterdam University of Applied Science, Amsterdam, Netherlands; FutureWater, Cartagena, Spain
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ercin E.,Veldkamp T.I.E.,Hunink J.. Cross-border climate vulnerabilities of the European Union to drought[J],2021,12(1).
APA	Ercin E.,Veldkamp T.I.E.,&Hunink J..(2021).Cross-border climate vulnerabilities of the European Union to drought.Nature Communications,12(1).
MLA	Ercin E.,et al."Cross-border climate vulnerabilities of the European Union to drought".Nature Communications 12.1(2021).