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DOI10.1038/s41467-021-24015-w
Future climate change shaped by inter-model differences in Atlantic meridional overturning circulation response
Bellomo K.; Angeloni M.; Corti S.; von Hardenberg J.
发表日期2021
ISSN2041-1723
卷号12期号:1
英文摘要In climate model simulations of future climate change, the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is projected to decline. However, the impacts of this decline, relative to other changes, remain to be identified. Here we address this problem by analyzing 30 idealized abrupt-4xCO2 climate model simulations. We find that in models with larger AMOC decline, there is a minimum warming in the North Atlantic, a southward displacement of the Inter-tropical Convergence Zone, and a poleward shift of the mid-latitude jet. The changes in the models with smaller AMOC decline are drastically different: there is a relatively larger warming in the North Atlantic, the precipitation response exhibits a wet-get-wetter, dry-get-drier pattern, and there are smaller displacements of the mid-latitude jet. Our study indicates that the AMOC is a major source of inter-model uncertainty, and continued observational efforts are needed to constrain the AMOC response in future climate change. © 2021, The Author(s).
语种英语
scopus关键词air-sea interaction; climate change; climate modeling; intertropical convergence zone; meridional circulation; midlatitude environment; precipitation (climatology); United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change; article; Atlantic meridional overturning circulation; climate change; latitude; precipitation; simulation; uncertainty; warming; Atlantic Ocean; Atlantic Ocean (North)
来源期刊Nature Communications
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/250672
作者单位National Research Council of Italy, Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate (CNR-ISAC), Turin, Italy; Department of Physics and Astronomy, Alma Mater Studiorum - University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy; National Research Council of Italy, Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate (CNR-ISAC), Bologna, Italy; Department of Environment, Land and Infrastructure Engineering, Politecnico di Torino, Turin, Italy
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Bellomo K.,Angeloni M.,Corti S.,et al. Future climate change shaped by inter-model differences in Atlantic meridional overturning circulation response[J],2021,12(1).
APA Bellomo K.,Angeloni M.,Corti S.,&von Hardenberg J..(2021).Future climate change shaped by inter-model differences in Atlantic meridional overturning circulation response.Nature Communications,12(1).
MLA Bellomo K.,et al."Future climate change shaped by inter-model differences in Atlantic meridional overturning circulation response".Nature Communications 12.1(2021).
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