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DOI | 10.1038/s41467-021-24472-3 |
20th century cooling of the deep ocean contributed to delayed acceleration of Earth’s energy imbalance | |
Bagnell A.; DeVries T. | |
发表日期 | 2021 |
ISSN | 2041-1723 |
卷号 | 12期号:1 |
英文摘要 | The historical evolution of Earth’s energy imbalance can be quantified by changes in the global ocean heat content. However, historical reconstructions of ocean heat content often neglect a large volume of the deep ocean, due to sparse observations of ocean temperatures below 2000 m. Here, we provide a global reconstruction of historical changes in full-depth ocean heat content based on interpolated subsurface temperature data using an autoregressive artificial neural network, providing estimates of total ocean warming for the period 1946-2019. We find that cooling of the deep ocean and a small heat gain in the upper ocean led to no robust trend in global ocean heat content from 1960-1990, implying a roughly balanced Earth energy budget within −0.16 to 0.06 W m−2 over most of the latter half of the 20th century. However, the past three decades have seen a rapid acceleration in ocean warming, with the entire ocean warming from top to bottom at a rate of 0.63 ± 0.13 W m−2. These results suggest a delayed onset of a positive Earth energy imbalance relative to previous estimates, although large uncertainties remain. © 2021, The Author(s). |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | acceleration; cooling; energy budget; global ocean; reconstruction; seasonal variation; twentieth century; upper ocean; acceleration; article; artificial neural network; budget; cooling; heat; sea; uncertainty; warming |
来源期刊 | Nature Communications
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/250648 |
作者单位 | Interdepartmental Graduate Program in Marine Science, University of California, Santa Barbara, United States; Department of Geography, University of California, Santa Barbara, United States; Earth Research Institute, University of California, Santa Barbara, United States |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Bagnell A.,DeVries T.. 20th century cooling of the deep ocean contributed to delayed acceleration of Earth’s energy imbalance[J],2021,12(1). |
APA | Bagnell A.,&DeVries T..(2021).20th century cooling of the deep ocean contributed to delayed acceleration of Earth’s energy imbalance.Nature Communications,12(1). |
MLA | Bagnell A.,et al."20th century cooling of the deep ocean contributed to delayed acceleration of Earth’s energy imbalance".Nature Communications 12.1(2021). |
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