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DOI	10.1038/s41467-021-25019-2
	Thresholds of temperature change for mass extinctions
	Song H.; Kemp D.B.; Tian L.; Chu D.; Song H.; Dai X.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	2041-1723
卷号	12 期号:1
英文摘要	Climate change is a critical factor affecting biodiversity. However, the quantitative relationship between temperature change and extinction is unclear. Here, we analyze magnitudes and rates of temperature change and extinction rates of marine fossils through the past 450 million years (Myr). The results show that both the rate and magnitude of temperature change are significantly positively correlated with the extinction rate of marine animals. Major mass extinctions in the Phanerozoic can be linked to thresholds in climate change (warming or cooling) that equate to magnitudes >5.2 °C and rates >10 °C/Myr. The significant relationship between temperature change and extinction still exists when we exclude the five largest mass extinctions of the Phanerozoic. Our findings predict that a temperature increase of 5.2 °C above the pre-industrial level at present rates of increase would likely result in mass extinction comparable to that of the major Phanerozoic events, even without other, non-climatic anthropogenic impacts. © 2021, The Author(s).
语种	英语
scopus关键词	anthropogenic effect; climate change; coronal mass ejection; detection method; extinction risk; mass extinction; Phanerozoic; temperature gradient; threshold; article; climate change; cooling; fossil; human impact (environment); mass extinction; nonhuman; Phanerozoic; warming; animal; biodiversity; climate change; sea; species extinction; temperature; theoretical model; Animals; Biodiversity; Climate Change; Extinction, Biological; Fossils; Models, Theoretical; Oceans and Seas; Temperature
来源期刊	Nature Communications
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/250643
作者单位	State Key Laboratory of Biogeology and Environmental Geology, School of Earth Sciences, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Song H.,Kemp D.B.,Tian L.,et al. Thresholds of temperature change for mass extinctions[J],2021,12(1).
APA	Song H.,Kemp D.B.,Tian L.,Chu D.,Song H.,&Dai X..(2021).Thresholds of temperature change for mass extinctions.Nature Communications,12(1).
MLA	Song H.,et al."Thresholds of temperature change for mass extinctions".Nature Communications 12.1(2021).