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DOI10.1038/s41467-021-26050-z
Current and projected regional economic impacts of heatwaves in Europe
García-León D.; Casanueva A.; Standardi G.; Burgstall A.; Flouris A.D.; Nybo L.
发表日期2021
ISSN2041-1723
卷号12期号:1
英文摘要Extreme heat undermines the working capacity of individuals, resulting in lower productivity, and thus economic output. Here we analyse the present and future economic damages due to reduced labour productivity caused by extreme heat in Europe. For the analysis of current impacts, we focused on heatwaves occurring in four recent anomalously hot years (2003, 2010, 2015, and 2018) and compared our findings to the historical period 1981–2010. In the selected years, the total estimated damages attributed to heatwaves amounted to 0.3–0.5% of European gross domestic product (GDP). However, the identified losses were largely heterogeneous across space, consistently showing GDP impacts beyond 1% in more vulnerable regions. Future projections indicate that by 2060 impacts might increase in Europe by a factor of almost five compared to the historical period 1981–2010 if no further mitigation or adaptation actions are taken, suggesting the presence of more pronounced effects in the regions where these damages are already acute. © 2021, The Author(s).
语种英语
scopus关键词adaptation; current; economic impact; Gross Domestic Product; mitigation; productivity; regional economy; article; Europe; extreme hot weather; gross national product; productivity; Europe
来源期刊Nature Communications
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/250610
作者单位European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Edificio Expo, Inca Garcilaso 3, Seville, 41092, Spain; Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss, Zurich, 8058, Switzerland; Meteorology Group, Department of Applied Mathematics and Computer Sciences, University of Cantabria, Santander, 39005, Spain; Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC) and Ca’ Foscari University of Venice. Edificio Porta dell’Innovazione, 2nd floor, Via della Libertà 12, Venice, 30175, Italy; RFF-CMCC European Institute on Economics and the Environment (EIEE). Edificio Porta dell’Innovazione, 2nd floor, Via della Libertà 12, Venice, 30175, Italy; FAME Laboratory, Department of Exercise Science, University of Thessaly, Trikala, 42100, Greece; Department of Nutrition and Exercise Sciences, University of Copenhagen (NEXS), Copenhagen, 2100, Denmark
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García-León D.,Casanueva A.,Standardi G.,et al. Current and projected regional economic impacts of heatwaves in Europe[J],2021,12(1).
APA García-León D.,Casanueva A.,Standardi G.,Burgstall A.,Flouris A.D.,&Nybo L..(2021).Current and projected regional economic impacts of heatwaves in Europe.Nature Communications,12(1).
MLA García-León D.,et al."Current and projected regional economic impacts of heatwaves in Europe".Nature Communications 12.1(2021).
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