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DOI | 10.1038/s41467-021-26050-z |
Current and projected regional economic impacts of heatwaves in Europe | |
García-León D.; Casanueva A.; Standardi G.; Burgstall A.; Flouris A.D.; Nybo L. | |
发表日期 | 2021 |
ISSN | 2041-1723 |
卷号 | 12期号:1 |
英文摘要 | Extreme heat undermines the working capacity of individuals, resulting in lower productivity, and thus economic output. Here we analyse the present and future economic damages due to reduced labour productivity caused by extreme heat in Europe. For the analysis of current impacts, we focused on heatwaves occurring in four recent anomalously hot years (2003, 2010, 2015, and 2018) and compared our findings to the historical period 1981–2010. In the selected years, the total estimated damages attributed to heatwaves amounted to 0.3–0.5% of European gross domestic product (GDP). However, the identified losses were largely heterogeneous across space, consistently showing GDP impacts beyond 1% in more vulnerable regions. Future projections indicate that by 2060 impacts might increase in Europe by a factor of almost five compared to the historical period 1981–2010 if no further mitigation or adaptation actions are taken, suggesting the presence of more pronounced effects in the regions where these damages are already acute. © 2021, The Author(s). |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | adaptation; current; economic impact; Gross Domestic Product; mitigation; productivity; regional economy; article; Europe; extreme hot weather; gross national product; productivity; Europe |
来源期刊 | Nature Communications |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/250610 |
作者单位 | European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Edificio Expo, Inca Garcilaso 3, Seville, 41092, Spain; Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss, Zurich, 8058, Switzerland; Meteorology Group, Department of Applied Mathematics and Computer Sciences, University of Cantabria, Santander, 39005, Spain; Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC) and Ca’ Foscari University of Venice. Edificio Porta dell’Innovazione, 2nd floor, Via della Libertà 12, Venice, 30175, Italy; RFF-CMCC European Institute on Economics and the Environment (EIEE). Edificio Porta dell’Innovazione, 2nd floor, Via della Libertà 12, Venice, 30175, Italy; FAME Laboratory, Department of Exercise Science, University of Thessaly, Trikala, 42100, Greece; Department of Nutrition and Exercise Sciences, University of Copenhagen (NEXS), Copenhagen, 2100, Denmark |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | García-León D.,Casanueva A.,Standardi G.,et al. Current and projected regional economic impacts of heatwaves in Europe[J],2021,12(1). |
APA | García-León D.,Casanueva A.,Standardi G.,Burgstall A.,Flouris A.D.,&Nybo L..(2021).Current and projected regional economic impacts of heatwaves in Europe.Nature Communications,12(1). |
MLA | García-León D.,et al."Current and projected regional economic impacts of heatwaves in Europe".Nature Communications 12.1(2021). |
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