气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): New climate models reveal faster and larger increases in Arctic precipitation than previously projected

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DOI	10.1038/s41467-021-27031-y
	New climate models reveal faster and larger increases in Arctic precipitation than previously projected
	McCrystall M.R.; Stroeve J.; Serreze M.; Forbes B.C.; Screen J.A.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	2041-1723
卷号	12 期号:1
英文摘要	As the Arctic continues to warm faster than the rest of the planet, evidence mounts that the region is experiencing unprecedented environmental change. The hydrological cycle is projected to intensify throughout the twenty-first century, with increased evaporation from expanding open water areas and more precipitation. The latest projections from the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) point to more rapid Arctic warming and sea-ice loss by the year 2100 than in previous projections, and consequently, larger and faster changes in the hydrological cycle. Arctic precipitation (rainfall) increases more rapidly in CMIP6 than in CMIP5 due to greater global warming and poleward moisture transport, greater Arctic amplification and sea-ice loss and increased sensitivity of precipitation to Arctic warming. The transition from a snow- to rain-dominated Arctic in the summer and autumn is projected to occur decades earlier and at a lower level of global warming, potentially under 1.5 °C, with profound climatic, ecosystem and socio-economic impacts. © 2021, The Author(s).
语种	英语
scopus关键词	climate change; CMIP; environmental change; global warming; hydrological cycle; precipitation (chemistry); socioeconomic impact
来源期刊	Nature Communications
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/250563
作者单位	Canada 150 Research Chairs Program, Centre for Earth Observation Science, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB, Canada; Department of Earth Sciences, University College London, London, United Kingdom; National Snow and Ice Data Centre, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States; Arctic Centre, University of Lapland, Rovaniemi, Finland; College of Engineering, Maths, and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	McCrystall M.R.,Stroeve J.,Serreze M.,et al. New climate models reveal faster and larger increases in Arctic precipitation than previously projected[J],2021,12(1).
APA	McCrystall M.R.,Stroeve J.,Serreze M.,Forbes B.C.,&Screen J.A..(2021).New climate models reveal faster and larger increases in Arctic precipitation than previously projected.Nature Communications,12(1).
MLA	McCrystall M.R.,et al."New climate models reveal faster and larger increases in Arctic precipitation than previously projected".Nature Communications 12.1(2021).