气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Economic footprint of California wildfires in 2018

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DOI	10.1038/s41893-020-00646-7
	Economic footprint of California wildfires in 2018
	Wang D.; Guan D.; Zhu S.; Kinnon M.M.; Geng G.; Zhang Q.; Zheng H.; Lei T.; Shao S.; Gong P.; Davis S.J.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	2398-9629
起始页码	252
结束页码	260
卷号	4 期号:3
英文摘要	Recent increases in the frequency and scale of wildfires worldwide have raised concerns about the influence of climate change and associated socioeconomic costs. In the western United States, the hazard of wildfire has been increasing for decades. Here, we use a combination of physical, epidemiological and economic models to estimate the economic impacts of California wildfires in 2018, including the value of destroyed and damaged capital, the health costs related to air pollution exposure and indirect losses due to broader economic disruption cascading along with regional and national supply chains. Our estimation shows that wildfire damages in 2018 totalled $148.5 (126.1–192.9) billion (roughly 1.5% of California’s annual gross domestic product), with $27.7 billion (19%) in capital losses, $32.2 billion (22%) in health costs and $88.6 billion (59%) in indirect losses (all values in US$). Our results reveal that the majority of economic impacts related to California wildfires may be indirect and often affect industry sectors and locations distant from the fires (for example, 52% of the indirect losses—31% of total losses—in 2018 were outside of California). Our findings and methods provide new information for decision makers tasked with protecting lives and key production sectors and reducing the economic damages of future wildfires. © 2020, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Climate change; Cost benefit analysis; Cost estimating; Decision making; Depreciation; Fires; Supply chains; Air pollution exposures; Economic damages; Economic impacts; Gross domestic products; Industry sectors; Production sector; Western United States; Wildfire damages; Economic and social effects
来源期刊	Nature Sustainability
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/249820
作者单位	School of Urban and Regional Science, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai, China; Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China; The Bartlett School of Construction and Project Management, University College London, London, United Kingdom; Advanced Power and Energy Program, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA, United States; State Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control, School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China; Industrial Ecology Programme, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway; School of Business, East China University of Science and Technology, Shanghai, China; Department of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wang D.,Guan D.,Zhu S.,et al. Economic footprint of California wildfires in 2018[J],2021,4(3).
APA	Wang D..,Guan D..,Zhu S..,Kinnon M.M..,Geng G..,...&Davis S.J..(2021).Economic footprint of California wildfires in 2018.Nature Sustainability,4(3).
MLA	Wang D.,et al."Economic footprint of California wildfires in 2018".Nature Sustainability 4.3(2021).