气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Historical dynamics of landslide risk from population and forest-cover changes in the Kivu Rift

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41893-021-00757-9
	Historical dynamics of landslide risk from population and forest-cover changes in the Kivu Rift
	Depicker A.; Jacobs L.; Mboga N.; Smets B.; Van Rompaey A.; Lennert M.; Wolff E.; Kervyn F.; Michellier C.; Dewitte O.; Govers G.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	2398-9629
起始页码	965
结束页码	974
卷号	4 期号:11
英文摘要	Human activity influences both the occurrence and impact of landslides in mountainous environments. Population pressure and the associated land-use changes are assumed to exacerbate landslide risk, yet there is a lack of statistical evidence to support this claim, especially in the Global South where historical records are scarce. In this work, we explore the interactions between population, deforestation and landslide risk in the Kivu Rift in Africa. To do so, we develop a holistic landslide risk model that evaluates 58 years of population and forest-cover trends. We show that the current landslide risk in the eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) is twice as high as in neighbouring Rwanda and Burundi. Congolese households, on average, populate more hazardous terrain, probably as a result of conflicts and economic pull factors such as mining. Moreover, the recent large-scale deforestation of primary rainforest in the DRC has considerably exacerbated the landslide risk. Our analysis demonstrates how the legacy of deforestation, conflicts and population dynamics is reflected in the landslide risk in the Kivu Rift. © 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Deforestation; Land use; Landslides; Population statistics; Risk perception; Forest cover; Forest cover change; Historical records; Human activities; Land-use change; Mountainous environment; Population pressure; Statistical evidence; Risk assessment
来源期刊	Nature Sustainability
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/249719
作者单位	Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Division of Geography and Tourism, KU Leuven, Heverlee, Belgium; Department of Geosciences, Environment & Society, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Brussels, Belgium; Department of Earth Sciences, Royal Museum for Central Africa, Tervuren, Belgium; Department of Geography, Cartography and GIS Research Group, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Depicker A.,Jacobs L.,Mboga N.,et al. Historical dynamics of landslide risk from population and forest-cover changes in the Kivu Rift[J],2021,4(11).
APA	Depicker A..,Jacobs L..,Mboga N..,Smets B..,Van Rompaey A..,...&Govers G..(2021).Historical dynamics of landslide risk from population and forest-cover changes in the Kivu Rift.Nature Sustainability,4(11).
MLA	Depicker A.,et al."Historical dynamics of landslide risk from population and forest-cover changes in the Kivu Rift".Nature Sustainability 4.11(2021).