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DOI10.1038/s41893-021-00772-w
Land-based implications of early climate actions without global net-negative emissions
Hasegawa T.; Fujimori S.; Frank S.; Humpenöder F.; Bertram C.; Després J.; Drouet L.; Emmerling J.; Gusti M.; Harmsen M.; Keramidas K.; Ochi Y.; Oshiro K.; Rochedo P.; van Ruijven B.; Cabardos A.-M.; Deppermann A.; Fosse F.; Havlik P.; Krey V.; Popp A.; Schaeffer R.; van Vuuren D.; Riahi K.
发表日期2021
ISSN2398-9629
起始页码1052
结束页码1059
卷号4期号:12
英文摘要Delaying climate mitigation action and allowing a temporary overshoot of temperature targets require large-scale carbon dioxide removal (CDR) in the second half of this century that may induce adverse side effects on land, food and ecosystems. Meanwhile, meeting climate goals without global net-negative emissions inevitably needs early and rapid emission reduction measures, which also brings challenges in the near term. Here we identify the implications for land-use and food systems of scenarios that do not depend on land-based CDR technologies. We find that early climate action has multiple benefits and trade-offs, and avoids the need for drastic (mitigation-induced) shifts in land use in the long term. Further long-term benefits are lower food prices, reduced risk of hunger and lower demand for irrigation water. Simultaneously, however, near-term mitigation pressures in the agriculture, forest and land-use sector and the required land area for energy crops increase, resulting in additional risk of food insecurity. © 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种英语
scopus关键词Carbon dioxide; Clock and data recovery circuits (CDR circuits); Crops; Economic and social effects; Emission control; Irrigation; Adverse side effects; Carbon dioxide removal; Climate mitigations; Emission reduction; Food prices; Food system; Land-use systems; Large-scales; Reduction measures; Trade off; Land use
来源期刊Nature Sustainability
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/249702
作者单位College of Science and Engineering, Ritsumeikan University, Kusatsu, Japan; Center for Social and Environmental Systems Research, National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; Department of Environmental Engineering, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Potsdam, Germany; European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), Seville, Spain; RFF-CMCC European Institute on Economics and the Environment, Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici, Milan, Italy; Lviv Polytechnic National University, Lviv, Ukraine; PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Hague, Netherlands; Copernicus Institute for Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands; E-Konzal Co. Ltd., Yodogawa, Osaka, Japan; Centre for Energy and Environmental Economics (CENERGIA-COPPE), Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ), Rio de Janeiro, Braz...
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Hasegawa T.,Fujimori S.,Frank S.,et al. Land-based implications of early climate actions without global net-negative emissions[J],2021,4(12).
APA Hasegawa T..,Fujimori S..,Frank S..,Humpenöder F..,Bertram C..,...&Riahi K..(2021).Land-based implications of early climate actions without global net-negative emissions.Nature Sustainability,4(12).
MLA Hasegawa T.,et al."Land-based implications of early climate actions without global net-negative emissions".Nature Sustainability 4.12(2021).
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