气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Anticipating sea-level rise and human migration: A review of empirical evidence and avenues for future research

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DOI	10.1002/wcc.747
	Anticipating sea-level rise and human migration: A review of empirical evidence and avenues for future research
	Duijndam S.J.; Botzen W.J.W.; Hagedoorn L.C.; Aerts J.C.J.H.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	1757-7780
英文摘要	Sea-level rise (SLR) threatens millions of people living in coastal areas through permanent inundation and other SLR-related hazards. Migration is one way for people to adapt to these coastal changes, but presents an enormous policy challenge given the number of people affected. Knowledge about the relationship between SLR-related hazards and migration is therefore important to allow for anticipatory policymaking. In recent years, an increasing number of empirical studies have investigated, using survey or census data, how SLR-related hazards including flooding, salinization, and erosion together with non-environmental factors influence migration behavior. In this article, we provide a systematic literature review of this empirical work. Our review findings indicate that flooding is not necessarily associated with increased migration. Severe flood events even tend to decrease long-term migration in developing countries, although more research is needed to better understand the underpinnings of this finding. Salinization and erosion do generally lead to migration, but the number of studies is sparse. Several non-environmental factors including wealth and place attachment influence migration alongside SLR-related hazards. Based on the review, we propose a research agenda by outlining knowledge gaps and promising avenues for future research on this topic. Promising research avenues include using behavioral experiments to investigate migration behavior under future SLR scenarios, studying migration among other adaptation strategies, and complementing empirical research with dynamic migration modeling. We conclude that more empirical research on the SLR-migration nexus is needed to properly understand and anticipate the complex dynamics of migration under SLR, and to design adequate policy responses. This article is categorized under:. Climate Economics < Aggregation Techniques for Impacts and Mitigation Costs Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Change < Learning from Cases and Analogies Assessing Impacts of Climate Change < Evaluating Future Impacts of Climate Change. © 2021 The Authors. WIREs Climate Change published by Wiley Periodicals LLC.
关键词	adaptation migration sea-level rise systematic literature review
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Behavioral research; Climate change; Developing countries; Erosion; Hazards; Population statistics; Sea level; Surveys; Adaptation; Coastal area; Empirical research; Environmental factors; Floodings; Human migration; Migration; Salinisation; Sea level rise; Systematic literature review; Floods
来源期刊	Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/249663
作者单位	Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands; Utrecht University School of Economics (U.S.E.), Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands; Risk Management and Decision Processes Center, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, United States; Deltares, Delft, Netherlands
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Duijndam S.J.,Botzen W.J.W.,Hagedoorn L.C.,et al. Anticipating sea-level rise and human migration: A review of empirical evidence and avenues for future research[J],2021.
APA	Duijndam S.J.,Botzen W.J.W.,Hagedoorn L.C.,&Aerts J.C.J.H..(2021).Anticipating sea-level rise and human migration: A review of empirical evidence and avenues for future research.Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change.
MLA	Duijndam S.J.,et al."Anticipating sea-level rise and human migration: A review of empirical evidence and avenues for future research".Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change (2021).