气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Climate mitigation policies and the potential pathways to conflict: Outlining a research agenda

CCPortal

DOI	10.1002/wcc.722
	Climate mitigation policies and the potential pathways to conflict: Outlining a research agenda
	Gilmore E.A.; Buhaug H.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	1757-7780
卷号	12 期号:5
英文摘要	Climate policies will need to incentivize transformative societal changes if they are to achieve emission reductions consistent with 1.5°C temperature targets. To contribute to efforts for aligning climate policy with broader societal goals, specifically those related to sustainable development, we identify the effects of climate mitigation policy on aspects of socioeconomic development that are known determinants of conflict and evaluate the plausibility and importance of potential pathways to armed conflict and political violence. Conditional on preexisting societal tensions and socioeconomic vulnerabilities, we isolate effects on economic performance, income and livelihood, food and energy prices, and land tenure as most likely to increase conflict risks. Climate policy designs may be critical to moderate these risks as different designs can promote more favorable societal outcomes such as equity and inclusion. Coupling research with careful monitoring and evaluation of the intermediate societal effects at early stages of policy implementation will be a critical part of learning and moderating potential conflict risks. Importantly, better characterizing the future conflict risks under climate policy allows for a more comprehensive comparison to the conflict risk if mitigation is not implemented and graver climate damages are experienced. This article is categorized under: The Carbon Economy and Climate Mitigation > Benefits of Mitigation. © 2021 The Authors. WIREs Climate Change published by Wiley Periodicals LLC.
关键词	armed conflict climate mitigation sustainable development
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Economic analysis; Emission control; Climate mitigations; Comprehensive comparisons; Economic performance; Monitoring and evaluations; Policy implementations; Potential conflict; Socio-economic development; Socio-economic vulnerability; Economic and social effects; environmental policy; mitigation; political conflict; political violence; research; socioeconomic impact; sustainable development
来源期刊	Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/249629
作者单位	Department of International Development, Community, and Environment, Clark University, Worcester, MA, United States; Peace Research Institute Oslo, Oslo, Norway
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Gilmore E.A.,Buhaug H.. Climate mitigation policies and the potential pathways to conflict: Outlining a research agenda[J],2021,12(5).
APA	Gilmore E.A.,&Buhaug H..(2021).Climate mitigation policies and the potential pathways to conflict: Outlining a research agenda.Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,12(5).
MLA	Gilmore E.A.,et al."Climate mitigation policies and the potential pathways to conflict: Outlining a research agenda".Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 12.5(2021).