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DOI10.1002/wcc.728
Implications of climate change for railway infrastructure
Palin E.J.; Stipanovic Oslakovic I.; Gavin K.; Quinn A.
发表日期2021
ISSN1757-7780
卷号12期号:5
英文摘要Weather phenomena can result in severe impacts on railway infrastructure. In future, projected changes to the frequency and/or intensity of extreme weather events could change weather–infrastructure risk profiles. Infrastructure owners and operators need to manage current weather impacts and put in place adequate plans to anticipate and adapt to changes in future weather risks, or mitigate the impacts arising from those risks. The assessment of the risk posed to railway infrastructure from current and future weather is dependent on a good understanding of the constituent components of risk: hazard, vulnerability, and exposure. A good understanding of the baseline and projected future risk is needed in order to understand the potential benefits of various climate change adaptation actions. Traditional risk assessment methods need some modification in order to be applied to climate change timescales, for which decisions need to be made under deep uncertainty. This review paper highlights some key challenges for assessing the risk, including: managing uncertainties; understanding weather-impact relationships and how they could change with climate change; assessing the costs of current and future weather impacts and the potential cost versus benefit of adaptation; and understanding practices and tools for adapting railway infrastructure. The literature reveals examples of progress and good practice in all these areas, providing scope for effective knowledge-sharing—across the railway infrastructure and other sectors—in support of infrastructure resilience and adaptation. This article is categorized under: Assessing Impacts of Climate Change > Evaluating Future Impacts of Climate Change. © 2021 Crown copyright, Met Office. WIREs Climate Change published by Wiley Periodicals LLC. This article is published with the permission of the Controller of HMSO and the Queen's Printer for Scotland.
关键词climate changeclimate change adaptationexposureextreme weatherhazardsinfrastructurerailwayrisk assessmentvulnerability
语种英语
scopus关键词Railroad transportation; Railroads; Risk assessment; Uncertainty analysis; Climate change adaptation; Deep uncertainties; Extreme weather events; Infrastructure resiliences; Managing uncertainty; Potential benefits; Railway infrastructure; Risk assessment methods; Climate change; adaptive management; climate change; climate effect; extreme event; hazard assessment; infrastructure planning; railway; risk assessment; vulnerability
来源期刊Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/249621
作者单位Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom; Faculty of Engineering Technology, University of Twente, Enschede, Netherlands; Infra Plan Consulting, Zagreb, Croatia; Faculty of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Delft University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands; Birmingham Centre for Railway Research and Education, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston, United Kingdom
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GB/T 7714
Palin E.J.,Stipanovic Oslakovic I.,Gavin K.,et al. Implications of climate change for railway infrastructure[J],2021,12(5).
APA Palin E.J.,Stipanovic Oslakovic I.,Gavin K.,&Quinn A..(2021).Implications of climate change for railway infrastructure.Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,12(5).
MLA Palin E.J.,et al."Implications of climate change for railway infrastructure".Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 12.5(2021).
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