气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Climate change and the demand for recreational ecosystem services on public lands in the continental United States

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102365
	Climate change and the demand for recreational ecosystem services on public lands in the continental United States
	Wilkins E.J.; Chikamoto Y.; Miller A.B.; Smith J.W.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	70
英文摘要	Cultural ecosystem services represent nonmaterial benefits people derive from the environment; these benefits include outdoor recreation opportunities. Changes in climatic conditions are likely to shift the spatial and temporal demand for recreational ecosystem services. To date, little is known about the magnitude and spatial variability in these shifts across large geographic extents. We use 14 years of geotagged social media data to explore how the climatological mean of maximum temperature affects the demand for recreational ecosystem services by season across public lands in the continental United States. We also investigate how the demand for recreational ecosystem services on public lands may change by 2050 under two climate change scenarios, RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. Across all public lands in the continental U.S., demand for recreational ecosystem services is expected to decrease 18% by 2050 under RCP 4.5 in the summer, but increase 12% in the winter and 5% in the spring, with no significant changes in the fall. There is substantial variation in the magnitude of projected changes by region. In the spring and fall, some regions are likely to see an increase in the demand for recreational ecosystem services (e.g., Arkansas-Rio Grande-Texas-Gulf), while others will see declines (e.g., South Atlantic Gulf, California Great Basin). Our findings suggest the total demand for recreational ecosystem services across the continental U.S. is expected to decline under warming temperatures. However, there is a large amount of variation in where, when, and by how much, demand will change. The peak season for visiting public lands is likely to lengthen in the continental U.S. as the climate continues to warm, with demand declining in the summer and growing in the off-season. © 2021 Elsevier Ltd
关键词	Climate Geotagged photographs Park visitation Protected areas Social media Temperature
语种	英语
scopus关键词	climate change; climate conditions; ecosystem service; outdoor recreation; public sector; recreational activity; social media; Arkansas; Atlantic Ocean; Atlantic Ocean (South); California; Great Basin; Rio Grande [North America]; Texas; United States
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/249590
作者单位	Department of Environment and Society, Utah State University, Logan, UT 84322-5215, United States; Institute of Outdoor Recreation and Tourism, Utah State University, Logan, UT 84322-5215, United States; Department of Plants, Soils and Climate, Utah State University, Logan, UT 84322-5215, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wilkins E.J.,Chikamoto Y.,Miller A.B.,et al. Climate change and the demand for recreational ecosystem services on public lands in the continental United States[J],2021,70.
APA	Wilkins E.J.,Chikamoto Y.,Miller A.B.,&Smith J.W..(2021).Climate change and the demand for recreational ecosystem services on public lands in the continental United States.Global Environmental Change,70.
MLA	Wilkins E.J.,et al."Climate change and the demand for recreational ecosystem services on public lands in the continental United States".Global Environmental Change 70(2021).