气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Experience is not enough: A dynamic explanation of the limited adaptation to extreme weather events in public organizations

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102358
	Experience is not enough: A dynamic explanation of the limited adaptation to extreme weather events in public organizations
	Zhang F.; Maroulis S.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	70
英文摘要	This study advances theory articulating the micro-level processes behind public organization adaptation to extreme weather. It tackles a persistent puzzle about the limited adaptation to extreme weather among public organizations: why does adaptation remain deficit after public organizations have experienced repeated extreme weather and some catastrophic consequences? We develop a computational agent-based model that integrates extant theory and data from semi-structured interviews of U.S. public transit agency managers, and use the model to investigate how micro-level cognition and behavior interact with environmental constraints to facilitate or impede the diffusion of adaptation. We articulate in greater detail how experience with influential extreme weather events matters to adaptation, highlighting that such experience is insufficient for adaptation to occur. A key insight is that the potential benefits from both increased risk perception and additional financial resources stemming from disaster- or non-disaster-induced opportunities can be underutilized, absent effective coupling between heightened risk perception and availability of resources that creates windows for adaptation. Using this insight, we further identify managerial and policy interventions with maximum leverage to promote adaptation to extreme weather in public organizations. The experiments show that slowing risk perception decay and synchronizing opportunities with extreme weather occurrences can stimulate adaptation. © 2021 Elsevier Ltd
关键词	Agent-based model Climate change adaptation Coupling Extreme weather Public organization adaptation Resilience
语种	英语
scopus关键词	adaptive management; cognition; extreme event; severe weather; social organization; United States
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/249587
作者单位	Schar School of Policy and Government, George Mason University, Van Metre Hall, 3351 Fairfax Dr, Arlington, VA 22201, United States; School of Public Affairs, Arizona State University, 411 N. Central Avenue, Phoenix, AZ 85004, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zhang F.,Maroulis S.. Experience is not enough: A dynamic explanation of the limited adaptation to extreme weather events in public organizations[J],2021,70.
APA	Zhang F.,&Maroulis S..(2021).Experience is not enough: A dynamic explanation of the limited adaptation to extreme weather events in public organizations.Global Environmental Change,70.
MLA	Zhang F.,et al."Experience is not enough: A dynamic explanation of the limited adaptation to extreme weather events in public organizations".Global Environmental Change 70(2021).