气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Informing national adaptation for sustainable development through spatial systems modelling

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102396
	Informing national adaptation for sustainable development through spatial systems modelling
	Fuldauer L.I.; Thacker S.; Hall J.W.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	71
英文摘要	Acute climate-change hazards, such as floods or storm surges, can affect a nation's built and natural environment assets that are critical for development and achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). To reduce the impacts of such acute climate-change hazards and safeguard development, national decision-makers require evidence on where and how hazards affect SDG achievement to better inform adaptation. Here, we develop a systems methodology that spatially models the impacts of climate-change hazards across a nation's entire built and natural environment assets and its interdependent influences on the SDG targets to inform national adaptation. We apply our methodology in Saint Lucia through a participatory approach with decision-makers across 18 government ministries, academia, and the private sector. Results reveal that acute climate-change hazards can affect half of Saint Lucia's assets across 22 sectors, which can influence 89% of all SDG targets. Application of our methodology provided evidence on where and how to prioritise adaptation, thereby helping to add spatial granularity to 52 measures under Saint Lucia's National Adaptation Plan (NAP) as well as specificity on how limited capacity for cross-sectoral coordination can be directed to safeguard SDG targets. Adaptation does not necessarily imply investing in physical asset protection: results show the need to protect critical natural environments which provide important adaptation services to the built environment. As more nations develop and revise their NAPs and Nationally Determined Contributions under the Paris Agreement, strategic planning across sectors – as demonstrated in Saint Lucia – will be critical to facilitate adaptation that safeguards SDG achievement. © 2021 Elsevier Ltd
关键词	Climate adaptation National Adaptation Plans (NAPs)Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs)Paris Agreement Participatory systems modelling Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
语种	英语
scopus关键词	adaptive management; climate change; decision making; detection method; modeling; participatory approach; strategic approach; sustainable development; Sustainable Development Goal; France; Ile de France; Paris; Saint Lucia; Ville de Paris; Windward Islands [Lesser Antilles]
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/249564
作者单位	Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford, South Parks Road, Oxford, UK OX1 3QY, United Kingdom; United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS), Marmorvej 51, Copenhagen, 2050, Denmark
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Fuldauer L.I.,Thacker S.,Hall J.W.. Informing national adaptation for sustainable development through spatial systems modelling[J],2021,71.
APA	Fuldauer L.I.,Thacker S.,&Hall J.W..(2021).Informing national adaptation for sustainable development through spatial systems modelling.Global Environmental Change,71.
MLA	Fuldauer L.I.,et al."Informing national adaptation for sustainable development through spatial systems modelling".Global Environmental Change 71(2021).