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DOI | 10.1126/science.abb6105 |
An investigation of transmission control measures during the first 50 days of the COVID-19 epidemic in China | |
Tian H.; Liu Y.; Li Y.; Wu C.-H.; Chen B.; Kraemer M.U.G.; Li B.; Cai J.; Xu B.; Yang Q.; Wang B.; Yang P.; Cui Y.; Song Y.; Zheng P.; Wang Q.; Bjornstad O.N.; Yang R.; Grenfell B.T.; Pybus O.G.; Dye C. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 0036-8075 |
起始页码 | 638 |
结束页码 | 642 |
卷号 | 368期号:6491 |
英文摘要 | Responding to an outbreak of a novel coronavirus [agent of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)] in December 2019, China banned travel to and from Wuhan city on 23 January 2020 and implemented a national emergency response. We investigated the spread and control of COVID-19 using a data set that included case reports, human movement, and public health interventions. The Wuhan shutdown was associated with the delayed arrival of COVID-19 in other cities by 2.91 days. Cities that implemented control measures preemptively reported fewer cases on average (13.0) in the first week of their outbreaks compared with cities that started control later (20.6). Suspending intracity public transport, closing entertainment venues, and banning public gatherings were associated with reductions in case incidence. The national emergency response appears to have delayed the growth and limited the size of the COVID-19 epidemic in China, averting hundreds of thousands of cases by 19 February (day 50). Copyright © 2020 The Authors, |
英文关键词 | data set; disease control; disease incidence; disease transmission; epidemic; public health; viral disease; Article; China; coronavirus disease 2019; disease duration; disease transmission; epidemic; health care planning; human; incidence; infection control; influenza A (H1N1); pandemic; patient isolation; priority journal; public health; sample size; scale up; traffic and transport; Betacoronavirus; communicable disease control; Coronavirus infection; epidemic; pandemic; public health service; regression analysis; statistical model; travel; virus pneumonia; China; Hubei; Wuhan; Coronavirus; Betacoronavirus; China; Communicable Disease Control; Coronavirus Infections; Epidemics; Humans; Incidence; Models, Statistical; Pandemics; Pneumonia, Viral; Public Health Practice; Regression Analysis; Travel |
语种 | 英语 |
来源期刊 | Science
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/245749 |
作者单位 | State Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science, College o Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China; School of Mathematical Sciences, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom; Department of Land, Air and Water Resources, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, United States; Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom; Harvard Medical School, Harvard University, Boston, MA, United States; Boston Children’s Hospital, Boston, MA, United States; Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modeling, Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China; Beijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Beijing, China; State Key Laboratory of Pathogen and Biosecurity, Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology, Beijing, China; Department of Urban Planning and Design, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong; Department of Occupational and Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Peking... |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Tian H.,Liu Y.,Li Y.,et al. An investigation of transmission control measures during the first 50 days of the COVID-19 epidemic in China[J],2020,368(6491). |
APA | Tian H..,Liu Y..,Li Y..,Wu C.-H..,Chen B..,...&Dye C..(2020).An investigation of transmission control measures during the first 50 days of the COVID-19 epidemic in China.Science,368(6491). |
MLA | Tian H.,et al."An investigation of transmission control measures during the first 50 days of the COVID-19 epidemic in China".Science 368.6491(2020). |
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