气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): External control of 20th century temperature by natural and anthropogenic forcings

CCPortal

DOI	10.1126/science.290.5499.2133
	External control of 20th century temperature by natural and anthropogenic forcings
	Stott P.A.; Tett S.F.B.; Jones G.S.; Allen M.R.; Mitchell J.F.B.; Jenkins G.J.
发表日期	2000
ISSN	0036-8075
起始页码	2133
结束页码	2137
卷号	290 期号:5499
英文摘要	A comparison of observations with simulations of a coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation model shows that both natural and anthropogenic factors have contributed significantly to 20th century temperature changes. The model successfully simulates global mean and large-scale land temperature variations, indicating that the climate response on these scales is strongly influenced by external factors. More than 80% of observed multidecadal-scale global mean temperature variations and more than 60% of 10- to 50-year land temperature variations are due to changes in external forcings. Anthropogenic global warming under a standard emissions scenario is predicted to continue at a rate similar to that observed in recent decades.
英文关键词	air temperature; atmosphere-ocean coupling; climate forcing; general circulation model; twentieth century; air temperature; article; force; global climate; greenhouse effect; priority journal; sea; simulation; temperature dependence
语种	英语
来源期刊	Science
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/245642
作者单位	Met Office, Hadley Ctr. Climate Prediction/Res., Bracknell, Berkshire RG12 2SY, United Kingdom
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Stott P.A.,Tett S.F.B.,Jones G.S.,et al. External control of 20th century temperature by natural and anthropogenic forcings[J],2000,290(5499).
APA	Stott P.A.,Tett S.F.B.,Jones G.S.,Allen M.R.,Mitchell J.F.B.,&Jenkins G.J..(2000).External control of 20th century temperature by natural and anthropogenic forcings.Science,290(5499).
MLA	Stott P.A.,et al."External control of 20th century temperature by natural and anthropogenic forcings".Science 290.5499(2000).