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DOI10.1126/science.1184695
Erosion of lizard diversity by climate change and altered thermal niches
Sinervo B.; Méndez-de-la-Cruz F.; Miles D.B.; Heulin B.; Bastiaans E.; Cruz M.V.-S.; Lara-Resendiz R.; Martínez-Méndez N.; Calderón-Espinosa M.L.; Meza-Lázaro R.N.; Gadsden H.; Avila L.J.; Morando M.; De La Riva I.J.; Sepúlveda P.V.; Rocha C.F.D.; Ibargüengoytía N.; Puntriano C.A.; Massot M.; Lepetz V.; Oksanen T.A.; Chappie D.G.; Bauer A.M.; Branch W.R.; Clobert J.; Sites Jr. J.W.
发表日期2010
ISSN0036-8075
起始页码894
结束页码899
卷号328期号:5980
英文摘要It is predicted that climate change will cause species extinctions and distributional shifts in coming decades, but data to validate these predictions are relatively scarce. Here, we compare recent and historical surveys for 48 Mexican lizard species at 200 sites. Since 1975, 12% of local populations have gone extinct. We verified physiological models of extinction risk with observed local extinctions and extended projections worldwide. Since 1975, we estimate that 4% of local populations have gone extinct worldwide, but by 2080 local extinctions are projected to reach 39% worldwide, and species extinctions may reach 20%. Global extinction projections were validated with local extinctions observed from 1975 to 2009 for regional biotas on four other continents, suggesting that lizards have already crossed a threshold for extinctions caused by climate change.
英文关键词climate change; extinction risk; lizard; local extinction; physiology; population distribution; species diversity; article; biota; climate change; ecological niche; environmental erosion; genetic correlation; lizard; nonhuman; phylogeny; priority journal; species extinction; temperature acclimatization; Squamata
语种英语
来源期刊Science
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/245503
作者单位Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California, Santa Cruz, CA, 95064, United States; Laboratorio de Herpetología, Instituto de Biología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, D.F., 04510, Mexico; Department of Biology, Ohio University, 131 Life Sciences Building, Athens, OH 45701, United States; CNRS UMR 6553, Station Biologique, 35380 Paimpont, France; Laboratorio de Biología de la Reproducción Animal, Departamento de Biología Comparada, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, D.F., 04510, Mexico; Instituto de Ciencias Naturales, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Sede Bogotá, Colombia; Instituto de Ecología, A.C, Miguel de Cervantes No. 120 (Cubículo 30C), Complejo Industrial, C.P. 31109, Chihuahua, Mexico; Centro Nacional Patagónico, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, U9120ACD, Blvd. Brown 2915, Puerto Madryn, Chubut, Argentina; Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales, CSIC, C/José Gutiérrez, Abascal 2, 28006 Madrid, Spain; Universidad de Concepción, ...
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Sinervo B.,Méndez-de-la-Cruz F.,Miles D.B.,et al. Erosion of lizard diversity by climate change and altered thermal niches[J],2010,328(5980).
APA Sinervo B..,Méndez-de-la-Cruz F..,Miles D.B..,Heulin B..,Bastiaans E..,...&Sites Jr. J.W..(2010).Erosion of lizard diversity by climate change and altered thermal niches.Science,328(5980).
MLA Sinervo B.,et al."Erosion of lizard diversity by climate change and altered thermal niches".Science 328.5980(2010).
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