气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Model projections of an imminent transition to a more arid climate in southwestern North America

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DOI	10.1126/science.1139601
	Model projections of an imminent transition to a more arid climate in southwestern North America
	Seager R.; Ting M.; Held I.; Kushnir Y.; Lu J.; Vecchi G.; Huang H.-P.; Harnik N.; Leetmaa A.; Lau N.-C.; Li C.; Velez J.; Naik N.
发表日期	2007
ISSN	0036-8075
起始页码	1181
结束页码	1184
卷号	316 期号:5828
英文摘要	How anthropogenic climate change will affect hydroclimate in the arid regions of southwestern North America has implications for the allocation of water resources and the course of regional development. Here we show that there is a broad consensus among climate models that this region will dry in the 21st century and that the transition to a more arid climate should already be under way. If these models are correct, the levels of aridity of the recent multiyear drought or the Dust Bowl and the 1950s droughts will become the new climatology of the American Southwest within a time frame of years to decades.
英文关键词	anthropogenic effect; arid region; aridity; climate change; climate forcing; climate modeling; regional development; resource allocation; water resource; article; climate; climate change; North America; priority journal; North America
语种	英语
来源期刊	Science
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/245405
作者单位	Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory (LDEO), Columbia University, Palisades, NY 10964, United States; National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ 08540, United States; Program in Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Department of Geosciences, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544, United States; National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO 80307, United States; Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Seager R.,Ting M.,Held I.,et al. Model projections of an imminent transition to a more arid climate in southwestern North America[J],2007,316(5828).
APA	Seager R..,Ting M..,Held I..,Kushnir Y..,Lu J..,...&Naik N..(2007).Model projections of an imminent transition to a more arid climate in southwestern North America.Science,316(5828).
MLA	Seager R.,et al."Model projections of an imminent transition to a more arid climate in southwestern North America".Science 316.5828(2007).