Climate Change Data Portal
DOI | 10.1126/science.1115233 |
Ecology: Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe | |
Schröter D.; Cramer W.; Leemans R.; Prentice I.C.; Araújo M.B.; Arnell N.W.; Bondeau A.; Bugmann H.; Carter T.R.; Gracia C.A.; De La Vega-Leinert A.C.; Erhard M.; Ewert F.; Glendining M.; House J.I.; Kankaanpää S.; Klein R.J.T.; Lavorel S.; Lindner M.; Metzger M.J.; Meyer J.; Mitchell T.D.; Reginster I.; Rounsevell M.; Sabaté S.; Sitch S.; Smith B.; Smith J.; Smith P.; Sykes M.T.; Thonicke K.; Thuiller W.; Tuck G.; Zaehle S.; Zierl B. | |
发表日期 | 2005 |
ISSN | 0036-8075 |
起始页码 | 1333 |
结束页码 | 1337 |
卷号 | 310期号:5752 |
英文摘要 | Global change will alter the supply of ecosystem services that are vital for human well-being. To investigate ecosystem service supply during the 21st century, we used a range of ecosystem models and scenarios of climate and land-use change to conduct a Europe-wide assessment. Large changes in climate and land use typically resulted in large changes in ecosystem service supply. Some of these trends may be positive (for example, increases in forest area and productivity) or offer opportunities (for example, "surplus land" for agricultural extensification and bioenergy production). However, many changes increase vulnerability as a result of a decreasing supply of ecosystem services (for example, declining soil fertility, declining water availability, increasing risk of forest fires), especially in the Mediterranean and mountain regions. |
英文关键词 | Agriculture; Climate change; Ecosystems; Forestry; Mathematical models; Soils; Agricultural extensification; Global change; Soil fertility; Ecology; carbon dioxide; carbon; climate change; ecosystem response; land use; water availability; article; bioenergy; climate; ecosystem; Europe; forest; global change; land use; priority journal; productivity; socioeconomics; soil fertility; Southern Europe; urbanization; water availability; agriculture; biodiversity; crop; environment; environmental protection; Europe; greenhouse effect; growth, development and aging; human; statistical model; theoretical model; tree; urban population; water supply; wood; Agriculture; Climates; Ecology; Ecosystems; Fertility; Forestry; Soil; Eurasia; Europe; Agriculture; Biodiversity; Carbon; Climate; Conservation of Natural Resources; Crops, Agricultural; Ecosystem; Environment; Europe; Greenhouse Effect; Humans; Models, Statistical; Models, Theoretical; Socioeconomic Factors; Trees; Urban Population; Water Supply; Wood |
语种 | 英语 |
来源期刊 | Science
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/245396 |
作者单位 | Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, 14473 Potsdam, Germany; Center for International Development, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, United States; Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, 6700 AA Wageningen, Netherlands; Department of Earth Sciences, University of Bristol, BS8 1RJ Bristol, United Kingdom; School of Geography and Environment, University of Oxford, OX1 3TB Oxford, United Kingdom; Museo Nacional de Ciencas Naturales, 28006 Madrid, Spain; Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, School of Geography, University of Southampton, Southampton SO17 1BJ, United Kingdom; Department of Environmental Sciences, Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule, 8092 Zürich, Switzerland; Finnish Environment Institute, 00251 Helsinki, Finland; Center for Ecological Research and Forestry Applications, University of Barcelona, 08193 Barcelona, Spain; Institute for Meteorology and Climate Research, Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, 82467 Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany; Agriculture and... |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Schröter D.,Cramer W.,Leemans R.,et al. Ecology: Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe[J],2005,310(5752). |
APA | Schröter D..,Cramer W..,Leemans R..,Prentice I.C..,Araújo M.B..,...&Zierl B..(2005).Ecology: Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe.Science,310(5752). |
MLA | Schröter D.,et al."Ecology: Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe".Science 310.5752(2005). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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