气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Demographic trade-offs predict tropical forest dynamics

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DOI	10.1126/science.aaz4797
	Demographic trade-offs predict tropical forest dynamics
	Rüger N.; Condit R.; Dent D.H.; DeWalt S.J.; Hubbell S.P.; Lichstein J.W.; Lopez O.R.; Wirth C.; Farrior C.E.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0036-8075
起始页码	165
结束页码	168
卷号	368 期号:6487
英文摘要	Understanding tropical forest dynamics and planning for their sustainable management require efficient, yet accurate, predictions of the joint dynamics of hundreds of tree species. With increasing information on tropical tree life histories, our predictive understanding is no longer limited by species data but by the ability of existing models to make use of it. Using a demographic forest model, we show that the basal area and compositional changes during forest succession in a neotropical forest can be accurately predicted by representing tropical tree diversity (hundreds of species) with only five functional groups spanning two essential trade-offs-the growth-survival and stature-recruitment trade-offs. This data-driven modeling framework substantially improves our ability to predict consequences of anthropogenic impacts on tropical forests. © 2020 The Authors.
英文关键词	basal area; demography; forest dynamics; forestry modeling; Neotropic Ecozone; prediction; succession; trade-off; tropical forest; article; body height; controlled study; demography; human; human impact (environment); Neotropics; tropical rain forest
语种	英语
来源期刊	Science
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/245302
作者单位	German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (IDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Deutscher Platz 5e, Leipzig, 04103, Germany; Department of Economics, University of Leipzig, Grimmaische Straße 12, Leipzig, 04109, Germany; Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute, Apartado, Balboa, Ancón, 0843-03092, Panama; Field Museum of Natural History, 1400 S. Lake Shore Dr., Chicago, IL 60605, United States; Morton Arboretum, 4100 Illinois Rte. 53, Lisle, IL 60532, United States; Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Stirling, Stirling, FK9 4LA, United Kingdom; Department of Biological Sciences, Clemson University, Clemson, SC 29634, United States; Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095, United States; Department of Biology, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611, United States; Instituto de Investigaciones Científicas y Servicios de Alta Tecnología (INDICASAT), Edificio 209,Clayton, Panama; Systematic Botany and Functional Biodiversity, ...
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Rüger N.,Condit R.,Dent D.H.,et al. Demographic trade-offs predict tropical forest dynamics[J],2020,368(6487).
APA	Rüger N..,Condit R..,Dent D.H..,DeWalt S.J..,Hubbell S.P..,...&Farrior C.E..(2020).Demographic trade-offs predict tropical forest dynamics.Science,368(6487).
MLA	Rüger N.,et al."Demographic trade-offs predict tropical forest dynamics".Science 368.6487(2020).