气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Modeling the ecology and evolution of biodiversity: Biogeographical cradles, museums, and graves

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DOI	10.1126/science.aar5452
	Modeling the ecology and evolution of biodiversity: Biogeographical cradles, museums, and graves
	Rangel T.F.; Edwards N.R.; Holden P.B.; Diniz-Filho J.A.F.; Gosling W.D.; Coelho M.T.P.; Cassemiro F.A.S.; Rahbek C.; Colwell R.K.
发表日期	2018
ISSN	0036-8075
卷号	361 期号:6399
英文摘要	Individual processes shaping geographical patterns of biodiversity are increasingly understood, but their complex interactions on broad spatial and temporal scales remain beyond the reach of analytical models and traditional experiments. To meet this challenge, we built a spatially explicit, mechanistic simulation model implementing adaptation, range shifts, fragmentation, speciation, dispersal, competition, and extinction, driven by modeled climates of the past 800,000 years in South America. Experimental topographic smoothing confirmed the impact of climate heterogeneity on diversification. The simulations identified regions and episodes of speciation (cradles), persistence (museums), and extinction (graves). Although the simulations had no target pattern and were not parameterized with empirical data, emerging richness maps closely resembled contemporary maps for major taxa, confirming powerful roles for evolution and diversification driven by topography and climate. © 2017 The Authors, some rights reserved.
英文关键词	biodiversity; biogeography; ecological modeling; extinction; heterogeneity; model; modeling; museum; paleoclimate; persistence; simulation; smoothing; speciation (biology); article; biodiversity; climate; competition; ecology; information center; simulation; South America; species differentiation; topography; climate change; computer simulation; phylogeography; population dynamics; spatiotemporal analysis; theoretical model; South America; Biodiversity; Climate Change; Computer Simulation; Models, Theoretical; Phylogeography; Population Dynamics; South America; Spatio-Temporal Analysis
语种	英语
来源期刊	Science
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/245177
作者单位	Departmento de Ecologia, Universidade Federal de Goiás, CP 131, 74., Goiânia, Goiás, 001-970, Brazil; School of Environment, Earth, and Ecosystems, Open University, Milton Keynes, United Kingdom; Department of Ecosystem and Landscape Dynamics, Institute of Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics, University of Amsterdam, Science Park, Amsterdam, 904, Netherlands; Núcleo de Pesquisa em Ictiologia, Limnologia e Aquicultura, Universidade Estadual de Maringá, Maringá, PR, Brazil; Center for Macroecology, Evolution and Climate, Natural History Museum of Denmark, University of Copenhagen, Universitetsparken 15, Copenhagen O, 2100, Denmark; Department of Life Sciences, Imperial College London, Ascot, SL5 7PY, United Kingdom; Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT 06269, United States; University of Colorado, Museum of Natural History, Boulder, CO 80309, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Rangel T.F.,Edwards N.R.,Holden P.B.,et al. Modeling the ecology and evolution of biodiversity: Biogeographical cradles, museums, and graves[J],2018,361(6399).
APA	Rangel T.F..,Edwards N.R..,Holden P.B..,Diniz-Filho J.A.F..,Gosling W.D..,...&Colwell R.K..(2018).Modeling the ecology and evolution of biodiversity: Biogeographical cradles, museums, and graves.Science,361(6399).
MLA	Rangel T.F.,et al."Modeling the ecology and evolution of biodiversity: Biogeographical cradles, museums, and graves".Science 361.6399(2018).