气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Interannual and interdecadal variability in 335 years of central England temperatures

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DOI	10.1126/science.268.5211.710
	Interannual and interdecadal variability in 335 years of central England temperatures
	Plaut G.; Ghil M.; Vautard R.
发表日期	1995
ISSN	0036-8075
起始页码	710
结束页码	713
卷号	268 期号:5211
英文摘要	Understanding the natural variability of climate is important for predicting its near-term evolution. Models of the oceans' thermohaline and wind-driven circulation show low-frequency oscillations. Long instrumental records can help validate the oscillatory behavior of these models. Singular spectrum analysis applied to the 335-year-long central England temperature (CET) record has identified climate oscillations with interannual (7-to 8-year) and interdecadal (15- and 25-year) periods, probably related to the North Atlantic's wind-driven and thermohaline circulation, respectively. Statistical prediction of oscillatory variability shows CETs decreasing toward the end of this decade and rising again into the middle of the next.
英文关键词	climate change; spectrum analysis; temperature variability; UK, England
语种	英语
来源期刊	Science
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/245096
作者单位	Institut Non-Linéaire de Nice, 1361 route des Lucioles, F-06560 Valbonne, France; Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Inst. of Geophys. and Planet. Phys., University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095, United States; Lab. Meteorol. Dynamique Ctr. N., Ecole Normale Supérieure, 24 rue Lhomond, F-75231 Paris Cedex 5, France
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Plaut G.,Ghil M.,Vautard R.. Interannual and interdecadal variability in 335 years of central England temperatures[J],1995,268(5211).
APA	Plaut G.,Ghil M.,&Vautard R..(1995).Interannual and interdecadal variability in 335 years of central England temperatures.Science,268(5211).
MLA	Plaut G.,et al."Interannual and interdecadal variability in 335 years of central England temperatures".Science 268.5211(1995).