气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Scenarios for global biodiversity in the 21st century

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DOI	10.1126/science.1196624
	Scenarios for global biodiversity in the 21st century
	Pereira H.M.; Leadley P.W.; Proença V.; Alkemade R.; Scharlemann J.P.W.; Fernandez-Manjarrés J.F.; Araújo M.B.; Balvanera P.; Biggs R.; Cheung W.W.L.; Chini L.; Cooper H.D.; Gilman E.L.; Guénette S.; Hurtt G.C.; Huntington H.P.; Mace G.M.; Oberdorff T.; Revenga C.; Rodrigues P.; Scholes R.J.; Sumaila U.R.; Walpole M.
发表日期	2010
ISSN	0036-8075
起始页码	1496
结束页码	1501
卷号	330 期号:6010
英文摘要	Quantitative scenarios are coming of age as a tool for evaluating the impact of future socioeconomic development pathways on biodiversity and ecosystem services. We analyze global terrestrial, freshwater, and marine biodiversity scenarios using a range of measures including extinctions, changes in species abundance, habitat loss, and distribution shifts, as well as comparing model projections to observations. Scenarios consistently indicate that biodiversity will continue to decline over the 21st century. However, the range of projected changes is much broader than most studies suggest, partly because there are major opportunities to intervene through better policies, but also because of large uncertainties in projections.
英文关键词	abundance; biodiversity; ecosystem service; freshwater ecosystem; future prospect; habitat loss; marine ecosystem; quantitative analysis; socioeconomic status; terrestrial ecosystem; twenty first century; biodiversity; climate change; community structure; ecosystem regeneration; global change; greenhouse effect; human; nonhuman; photosynthesis; population growth; priority journal; review; socioeconomics
语种	英语
来源期刊	Science
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/245055
作者单位	Centro de Biologia Ambiental, Faculdade de Ciências, Universidade de Lisboa, 1749-016 Lisboa, Portugal; Laboratoire Écologie, Systématique et Évolution, UMR 8079 CNRS, Université Paris-Sud 11, F-91405 Orsay, France; Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL), Post Office Box 303, 3720 AH Bilthoven, Netherlands; United Nations Environment Programme World Conservation Monitoring Centre, 219 Huntingdon Road, Cambridge CB3 0DL, United Kingdom; Departamento de Biodiversidad Y Biología Evolutiva, Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas, calle Jose Gutierrez Abascal, 28006 Madrid, Spain; Cátedra Rui Nabeiro-Biodiversidade, Centro de Investigação em Biodiversidade e Recursos Genéticos, Universidade de Évora, 7000 Évora, Portugal; Centro de Investigaciones en Ecosistemas, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Apartado Postal 27-3, Sta. Maria de Guido, C.P. 58090, Morelia, Michoacán, Mexico; Stockholm Resilience Center, Stockholm University, Stockholm 10691, S...
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Pereira H.M.,Leadley P.W.,Proença V.,et al. Scenarios for global biodiversity in the 21st century[J],2010,330(6010).
APA	Pereira H.M..,Leadley P.W..,Proença V..,Alkemade R..,Scharlemann J.P.W..,...&Walpole M..(2010).Scenarios for global biodiversity in the 21st century.Science,330(6010).
MLA	Pereira H.M.,et al."Scenarios for global biodiversity in the 21st century".Science 330.6010(2010).