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DOI | 10.1126/science.aah4156 |
An unexpected disruption of the atmospheric quasi-biennial oscillation | |
Osprey S.M.; Butchart N.; Knight J.R.; Scaife A.A.; Hamilton K.; Anstey J.A.; Schenzinger V.; Zhang C. | |
发表日期 | 2016 |
ISSN | 0036-8075 |
起始页码 | 1424 |
结束页码 | 1427 |
卷号 | 353期号:6306 |
英文摘要 | One of the most repeatable phenomena seen in the atmosphere, the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) between prevailing eastward and westward wind jets in the equatorial stratosphere (approximately 16 to 50 kilometers altitude), was unexpectedly disrupted in February 2016. An unprecedented westward jet formed within the eastward phase in the lower stratosphere and cannot be accounted for by the standard QBO paradigm based on vertical momentum transport. Instead, the primary cause was waves transporting momentum from the Northern Hemisphere. Seasonal forecasts did not predict the disruption, but analogous QBO disruptions are seen very occasionally in some climate simulations. A return to more typical QBO behavior within the next year is forecast, although the possibility ofmore frequent occurrences of similar disruptions is projected for a warming climate. Copyright © 2016 by the American Association for the Advancement of Science; all rights reserved. |
英文关键词 | climate modeling; climate variation; jet flow; momentum transfer; Northern Hemisphere; quasi-biennial oscillation; stratosphere; warming; weather forecasting; altitude; Article; atmosphere; climate; hemisphere; oscillation; priority journal; simulation; standard; stratosphere; warming |
语种 | 英语 |
来源期刊 | Science
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/244959 |
作者单位 | National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS)-Climate, University of Oxford, Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics, Clarendon Laboratory, Parks Road, Oxford, OX1 3PU, United Kingdom; Met Office Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, Devon, EX1 3PB, United Kingdom; Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom; International Pacific Research Center, University of Hawaìi, Honolulu, HI, United States; Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Osprey S.M.,Butchart N.,Knight J.R.,et al. An unexpected disruption of the atmospheric quasi-biennial oscillation[J],2016,353(6306). |
APA | Osprey S.M..,Butchart N..,Knight J.R..,Scaife A.A..,Hamilton K..,...&Zhang C..(2016).An unexpected disruption of the atmospheric quasi-biennial oscillation.Science,353(6306). |
MLA | Osprey S.M.,et al."An unexpected disruption of the atmospheric quasi-biennial oscillation".Science 353.6306(2016). |
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