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DOI10.1126/science.aah4156
An unexpected disruption of the atmospheric quasi-biennial oscillation
Osprey S.M.; Butchart N.; Knight J.R.; Scaife A.A.; Hamilton K.; Anstey J.A.; Schenzinger V.; Zhang C.
发表日期2016
ISSN0036-8075
起始页码1424
结束页码1427
卷号353期号:6306
英文摘要One of the most repeatable phenomena seen in the atmosphere, the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) between prevailing eastward and westward wind jets in the equatorial stratosphere (approximately 16 to 50 kilometers altitude), was unexpectedly disrupted in February 2016. An unprecedented westward jet formed within the eastward phase in the lower stratosphere and cannot be accounted for by the standard QBO paradigm based on vertical momentum transport. Instead, the primary cause was waves transporting momentum from the Northern Hemisphere. Seasonal forecasts did not predict the disruption, but analogous QBO disruptions are seen very occasionally in some climate simulations. A return to more typical QBO behavior within the next year is forecast, although the possibility ofmore frequent occurrences of similar disruptions is projected for a warming climate. Copyright © 2016 by the American Association for the Advancement of Science; all rights reserved.
英文关键词climate modeling; climate variation; jet flow; momentum transfer; Northern Hemisphere; quasi-biennial oscillation; stratosphere; warming; weather forecasting; altitude; Article; atmosphere; climate; hemisphere; oscillation; priority journal; simulation; standard; stratosphere; warming
语种英语
来源期刊Science
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/244959
作者单位National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS)-Climate, University of Oxford, Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics, Clarendon Laboratory, Parks Road, Oxford, OX1 3PU, United Kingdom; Met Office Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, Devon, EX1 3PB, United Kingdom; Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom; International Pacific Research Center, University of Hawaìi, Honolulu, HI, United States; Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada
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Osprey S.M.,Butchart N.,Knight J.R.,et al. An unexpected disruption of the atmospheric quasi-biennial oscillation[J],2016,353(6306).
APA Osprey S.M..,Butchart N..,Knight J.R..,Scaife A.A..,Hamilton K..,...&Zhang C..(2016).An unexpected disruption of the atmospheric quasi-biennial oscillation.Science,353(6306).
MLA Osprey S.M.,et al."An unexpected disruption of the atmospheric quasi-biennial oscillation".Science 353.6306(2016).
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