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DOI10.1126/science.aan5360
Past and future global transformation of terrestrial ecosystems under climate change
Nolan C.; Overpeck J.T.; Allen J.R.M.; Anderson P.M.; Betancourt J.L.; Binney H.A.; Brewer S.; Bush M.B.; Chase B.M.; Cheddadi R.; Djamali M.; Dodson J.; Edwards M.E.; Gosling W.D.; Haberle S.; Hotchkiss S.C.; Huntley B.; Ivory S.J.; Kershaw A.P.; Kim S.-H.; Latorre C.; Leydet M.; Lézine A.-M.; Liu K.-B.; Liu Y.; Lozhkin A.V.; McGlone M.S.; Marchant R.A.; Momohara A.; Moreno P.I.; Müller S.; Otto-Bliesner B.L.; Shen C.; Stevenson J.; Takahara H.; Tarasov P.E.; Tipton J.; Vincens A.; Weng C.; Xu Q.; Zheng Z.; Jackson S.T.
发表日期2018
ISSN0036-8075
起始页码920
结束页码923
卷号361期号:6405
英文摘要Impacts of global climate change on terrestrial ecosystems are imperfectly constrained by ecosystem models and direct observations. Pervasive ecosystem transformations occurred in response to warming and associated climatic changes during the last glacial-to-interglacial transition, which was comparable in magnitude to warming projected for the next century under high-emission scenarios. We reviewed 594 published paleoecological records to examine compositional and structural changes in terrestrial vegetation since the last glacial period and to project the magnitudes of ecosystem transformations under alternative future emission scenarios. Our results indicate that terrestrial ecosystems are highly sensitive to temperature change and suggest that, without major reductions in greenhouse gas emissions to the atmosphere, terrestrial ecosystems worldwide are at risk of major transformation, with accompanying disruption of ecosystem services and impacts on biodiversity. 2017 © The Authors.
英文关键词biodiversity; climate change; ecosystem service; glacial-interglacial cycle; global climate; greenhouse gas; Last Glacial; terrestrial ecosystem; vegetation cover; article; atmosphere; biodiversity; carbon footprint; climate change; ecosystem; biodiversity; Biodiversity; Climate Change
语种英语
来源期刊Science
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/244894
作者单位Department of Geosciences, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, United States; School for Environment and Sustainability, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, United States; Department of Biosciences, University of Durham, Durham, DH1 3LE, United States; Department of Earth and Space Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, United States; National Research Program, U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA 20192, United States; Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton, SO17 1BJ, United Kingdom; Department of Geography, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT 84112, United States; Department of Biological Sciences, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL 32901, United States; Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, UMR 5554, Institut des Sciences de l’Evolution de Montpellier, Université Montpellier, Bat. 22, CC061, Place Eugène Bataillon, Montpellier, 34095, France; Aix Marseille Université,, Avignon Université, CNRS, IRD, Institut Méditerranée...
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Nolan C.,Overpeck J.T.,Allen J.R.M.,et al. Past and future global transformation of terrestrial ecosystems under climate change[J],2018,361(6405).
APA Nolan C..,Overpeck J.T..,Allen J.R.M..,Anderson P.M..,Betancourt J.L..,...&Jackson S.T..(2018).Past and future global transformation of terrestrial ecosystems under climate change.Science,361(6405).
MLA Nolan C.,et al."Past and future global transformation of terrestrial ecosystems under climate change".Science 361.6405(2018).
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