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DOI | 10.1126/science.aao6379 |
Sustained climate warming drives declining marine biological productivity | |
Keith Moore J.; Fu W.; Primeau F.; Britten G.L.; Lindsay K.; Long M.; Doney S.C.; Mahowald N.; Hoffman F.; Randerson J.T. | |
发表日期 | 2018 |
ISSN | 0036-8075 |
起始页码 | 113 |
结束页码 | 1143 |
卷号 | 359期号:6380 |
英文摘要 | Climate change projections to the year 2100 may miss physical-biogeochemical feedbacks that emerge later from the cumulative effects of climate warming. In a coupled climate simulation to the year 2300, the westerly winds strengthen and shift poleward, surface waters warm, and sea ice disappears, leading to intense nutrient trapping in the Southern Ocean. The trapping drives a global-scale nutrient redistribution, with net transfer to the deep ocean. Ensuing surface nutrient reductions north of 30°S drive steady declines in primary production and carbon export (decreases of 24 and 41%, respectively, by 2300). Potential fishery yields, constrained by lower–trophic-level productivity, decrease by more than 20% globally and by nearly 60% in the North Atlantic. Continued high levels of greenhouse gas emissions could suppress marine biological productivity for a millennium. © 2017 The Authors. |
英文关键词 | organic carbon; carbon cycle; climate change; climate prediction; greenhouse gas; nutrient cycling; primary production; sea ice; surface water; trophic level; westerly; Antarctica; Article; biogeochemistry; carbon footprint; climate change; concentration (parameters); geographic distribution; greenhouse effect; greenhouse gas; marine environment; nutrient; ocean environment; phytoplankton; priority journal; sea ice; sea surface temperature; sea surface waters; wind; animal; carbon cycle; fishery; heat; ice cover; sea; Atlantic Ocean; Atlantic Ocean (North); Southern Ocean; Animals; Carbon Cycle; Climate Change; Fisheries; Hot Temperature; Ice Cover; Oceans and Seas; Wind |
语种 | 英语 |
来源期刊 | Science
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/244247 |
作者单位 | Department of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, CA, United States; Climate and Global Dynamics Division, Natural Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States; Department of Environmental Sciences, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, United States; Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, United States; Oak Ridge National Laboratory, U.S. Department of Energy, Oak Ridge, TN, United States |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Keith Moore J.,Fu W.,Primeau F.,et al. Sustained climate warming drives declining marine biological productivity[J],2018,359(6380). |
APA | Keith Moore J..,Fu W..,Primeau F..,Britten G.L..,Lindsay K..,...&Randerson J.T..(2018).Sustained climate warming drives declining marine biological productivity.Science,359(6380). |
MLA | Keith Moore J.,et al."Sustained climate warming drives declining marine biological productivity".Science 359.6380(2018). |
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