气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Quantifying the influence of climate on human conflict

CCPortal

DOI	10.1126/science.1235367
	Quantifying the influence of climate on human conflict
	Hsiang S.M.; Burke M.; Miguel E.
发表日期	2013
ISSN	0036-8075
卷号	341 期号:6151
英文摘要	A rapidly growing body of research examines whether human conflict can be affected by climatic changes. Drawing from archaeology, criminology, economics, geography, history, political science, and psychology, we assemble and analyze the 60 most rigorous quantitative studies and document, for the first time, a striking convergence of results. We find strong causal evidence linking climatic events to human conflict across a range of spatial and temporal scales and across all major regions of the world. The magnitude of climate's influence is substantial: for each one standard deviation (1σ) change in climate toward warmer temperatures or more extreme rainfall, median estimates indicate that the frequency of interpersonal violence rises 4% and the frequency of intergroup conflict rises 14%. Because locations throughout the inhabited world are expected to warm 2σ to 4σ by 2050, amplified rates of human conflict could represent a large and critical impact of anthropogenic climate change.
英文关键词	anthropogenic effect; archaeology; climate change; convergence; economics; psychology; rainfall; research; social conflict; violence; archeology; article; behavior disorder; civilization; climate change; conflict; crime; criminology; environmental temperature; human; priority journal; quantitative analysis; statistical analysis; violence; climate; crime; information retrieval; statistics; Climate; Climate Change; Conflict (Psychology); Crime; Humans; Literature Based Discovery; Violence
语种	英语
来源期刊	Science
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/244079
作者单位	Program in Science, Technology and Environmental Policy, Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544, United States; National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA 02138, United States; Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720, United States; Department of Economics, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720, United States; Goldman School of Public Policy, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Hsiang S.M.,Burke M.,Miguel E.. Quantifying the influence of climate on human conflict[J],2013,341(6151).
APA	Hsiang S.M.,Burke M.,&Miguel E..(2013).Quantifying the influence of climate on human conflict.Science,341(6151).
MLA	Hsiang S.M.,et al."Quantifying the influence of climate on human conflict".Science 341.6151(2013).