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DOI10.1126/science.213.4511.957
Climate impact of increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide
Hansen J.; Johnson D.; Lacis A.; Lebedeff S.; Lee P.; Rind D.; Russell G.
发表日期1981
ISSN0036-8075
起始页码957
结束页码966
卷号213期号:4511
英文摘要The global temperature rose by 0.2°C between the middle 1960's and 1980, yielding a warming of 0.4°C in the past century. This temperature increase is consistent with the calculated greenhouse effect due to measured increases of atmospheric carbon dioxide. Variations of volcanic aerosols and possibly solar luminosity appear to be primary causes of observed fluctuations about the mean trend of increasing temperature. It is shown that the anthropogenic carbon dioxide warming should emerge from the noise level of natural climate variability by the end of the century, and there is a high probability of warming in the 1980's. Potential effects on climate in the 21st century include the creation of drought-prone regions In North America and central Asia as part of a shifting of climatic zones, erosion of the West Antarctic ice sheet with a consequent worldwide rise in sea level, and opening of the fabled Northwest Passage. Copyright © 1981 AAAS.
语种英语
来源期刊Science
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/243938
作者单位NASA Institute for Space Studies, Goddard Space Flight Center, New York, NY 10025, United States; Summer Institute on Planets and Climate, Goddard Institute for Space Studies, Columbia University
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Hansen J.,Johnson D.,Lacis A.,et al. Climate impact of increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide[J],1981,213(4511).
APA Hansen J..,Johnson D..,Lacis A..,Lebedeff S..,Lee P..,...&Russell G..(1981).Climate impact of increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide.Science,213(4511).
MLA Hansen J.,et al."Climate impact of increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide".Science 213.4511(1981).
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