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DOI	10.1126/science.aba3996
	Globally observed trends in mean and extreme river flow attributed to climate change
	Gudmundsson L.; Boulange J.; Do H.X.; Gosling S.N.; Grillakis M.G.; Koutroulis A.G.; Leonard M.; Liu J.; Schmied H.M.; Papadimitriou L.; Pokhrel Y.; Seneviratne S.I.; Satoh Y.; Thiery W.; Westra S.; Zhang X.; Zhao F.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	0036-8075
起始页码	1159
结束页码	1162
卷号	371 期号:6534
英文摘要	Anthropogenic climate change is expected to affect global river flow. Here, we analyze time series of low, mean, and high river flows from 7250 observatories around the world covering the years 1971 to 2010. We identify spatially complex trend patterns, where some regions are drying and others are wetting consistently across low, mean, and high flows. Trends computed from state-of-the-art model simulations are consistent with the observations only if radiative forcing that accounts for anthropogenic climate change is considered. Simulated effects of water and land management do not suffice to reproduce the observed trend pattern. Thus, the analysis provides clear evidence for the role of externally forced climate change as a causal driver of recent trends in mean and extreme river flow at the global scale. © 2021 American Association for the Advancement of Science. All rights reserved.
英文关键词	anthropogenic effect; climate change; global perspective; land management; observational method; radiative forcing; river flow; spatiotemporal analysis; Article; climate change; environmental factor; environmental impact; environmental monitoring; greenhouse effect; land use; river; soil moisture; trend study; water management
语种	英语
来源期刊	Science
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/243891
作者单位	Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zurich, Zürich, Switzerland; National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), Tsukuba, Japan; School of Civil, Environmental and Mining Engineering, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA, Australia; Faculty of Environment and Natural Resources, Nong Lam University, Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam; School for Environment and Sustainability, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States; School of Geography, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, NG7 2RD, United Kingdom; Institute for Mediterranean Studies, Foundation for Research and Technology Hellas, Rethymno, 74100, Greece; School of Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Crete, Chania, Greece; School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology (SUSTech), Shenzhen, 518055, China; Institute of Physical Geography, Goethe University Frankfurt, Frankfurt am Main, Germany; Senckenberg Leibniz Biodiversity...
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Gudmundsson L.,Boulange J.,Do H.X.,et al. Globally observed trends in mean and extreme river flow attributed to climate change[J],2021,371(6534).
APA	Gudmundsson L..,Boulange J..,Do H.X..,Gosling S.N..,Grillakis M.G..,...&Zhao F..(2021).Globally observed trends in mean and extreme river flow attributed to climate change.Science,371(6534).
MLA	Gudmundsson L.,et al."Globally observed trends in mean and extreme river flow attributed to climate change".Science 371.6534(2021).