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| DOI | 10.1126/science.267.5198.666 |
| Simulation of recent global temperature trends | |
| Graham N.E. | |
| 发表日期 | 1995 |
| ISSN | 0036-8075 |
| 起始页码 | 666 |
| 结束页码 | 671 |
| 卷号 | 267期号:5198 |
| 英文摘要 | Observations show that global average tropospheric temperatures have been rising during the past century, with the most recent portion of record showing a sharp rise since the mid-1970s. This study shows that the most recent portion of the global temperature record (1970 to 1992) can be closely reproduced by atmospheric models forced only with observed ocean surface temperatures. In agreement with a diverse suite of controversial observational evidence from the past 40 years, the upward trend in simulated tropospheric temperatures is caused by an enhancement of the tropical hydrologic cycle driven by increasing tropical ocean temperatures. Although it is possible that the observed behavior is due to natural climate variability, there is disquieting similarity between these mode results, observed climate trends in recent decades, and the early expressions of the climatic response to increased atmospheric carbon dioxide in numerical simulations. |
| 英文关键词 | atmospheric carbon dioxide; atmospheric model; global temperature trend; ocean surface temperature; simulation |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 来源期刊 | Science
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/243852 |
| 作者单位 | Climate Research Division, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, San Diego, CA 92093, United States |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Graham N.E.. Simulation of recent global temperature trends[J],1995,267(5198). |
| APA | Graham N.E..(1995).Simulation of recent global temperature trends.Science,267(5198). |
| MLA | Graham N.E.."Simulation of recent global temperature trends".Science 267.5198(1995). |
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