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DOI | 10.1126/science.247.4942.556 |
An empirical model of total solar irradiance variation between 1874 and 1988 | |
Foukal P.; Lean J. | |
发表日期 | 1990 |
ISSN | 0036-8075 |
起始页码 | 556 |
结束页码 | 558 |
卷号 | 247期号:4942 |
英文摘要 | An empirical model of variations in the total solar irradiance caused by observed changes in photospheric magnetic activity between 1874 and 1988 is presented. The model provides a remarkably good representation of the irradiance variations observed by satellite-borne radiometers between 1980 and 1988. It suggests that the mean total irradiance has been rising steadily since about 1945, with the largest peak so far at about 1980 and another large peak expected during the current solar cycle 22. But it is doubtful whether even this rise can contribute significantly to global warming, unless the temperature increase of about 0.02°C that it produces in current energy balance models seriously underestimates the sensitivity of climate to solar irradiance changes. |
英文关键词 | article; nonhuman; priority journal; radiometry; scintiscanning; theoretical study; empirical model; solar irradiance |
语种 | 英语 |
来源期刊 | Science
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/243726 |
作者单位 | Cambridge Research and Instrumentation, Inc., Cambridge, MA 02139; E. O. Hulburt Center for Space Research, Naval Research Laboratory, Washington, DC 20375 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Foukal P.,Lean J.. An empirical model of total solar irradiance variation between 1874 and 1988[J],1990,247(4942). |
APA | Foukal P.,&Lean J..(1990).An empirical model of total solar irradiance variation between 1874 and 1988.Science,247(4942). |
MLA | Foukal P.,et al."An empirical model of total solar irradiance variation between 1874 and 1988".Science 247.4942(1990). |
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