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DOI10.1126/science.247.4942.556
An empirical model of total solar irradiance variation between 1874 and 1988
Foukal P.; Lean J.
发表日期1990
ISSN0036-8075
起始页码556
结束页码558
卷号247期号:4942
英文摘要An empirical model of variations in the total solar irradiance caused by observed changes in photospheric magnetic activity between 1874 and 1988 is presented. The model provides a remarkably good representation of the irradiance variations observed by satellite-borne radiometers between 1980 and 1988. It suggests that the mean total irradiance has been rising steadily since about 1945, with the largest peak so far at about 1980 and another large peak expected during the current solar cycle 22. But it is doubtful whether even this rise can contribute significantly to global warming, unless the temperature increase of about 0.02°C that it produces in current energy balance models seriously underestimates the sensitivity of climate to solar irradiance changes.
英文关键词article; nonhuman; priority journal; radiometry; scintiscanning; theoretical study; empirical model; solar irradiance
语种英语
来源期刊Science
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/243726
作者单位Cambridge Research and Instrumentation, Inc., Cambridge, MA 02139; E. O. Hulburt Center for Space Research, Naval Research Laboratory, Washington, DC 20375
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Foukal P.,Lean J.. An empirical model of total solar irradiance variation between 1874 and 1988[J],1990,247(4942).
APA Foukal P.,&Lean J..(1990).An empirical model of total solar irradiance variation between 1874 and 1988.Science,247(4942).
MLA Foukal P.,et al."An empirical model of total solar irradiance variation between 1874 and 1988".Science 247.4942(1990).
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