气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Paleontological baselines for evaluating extinction risk in the modern oceans

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DOI	10.1126/science.aaa6635
	Paleontological baselines for evaluating extinction risk in the modern oceans
	Finnegan S.; Anderson S.C.; Harnik P.G.; Simpson C.; Tittensor D.P.; Byrnes J.E.; Finkel Z.V.; Lindberg D.R.; Liow L.H.; Lockwood R.; Lotze H.K.; McClain C.R.; McGuire J.L.; O'Dea A.; Pandolfi J.M.
发表日期	2015
ISSN	0036-8075
起始页码	567
结束页码	570
卷号	348 期号:6234
英文摘要	Marine taxa are threatened by anthropogenic impacts, but knowledge of their extinction vulnerabilities is limited. The fossil record provides rich information on past extinctions that can help predict biotic responses. We show that over 23 million years, taxonomic membership and geographic range size consistently explain a large proportion of extinction risk variation in six major taxonomic groups. We assess intrinsic risk-extinction risk predicted by paleontologically calibrated models-for modern genera in these groups. Mapping the geographic distribution of these genera identifies coastal biogeographic provinces where fauna with high intrinsic risk are strongly affected by human activity or climate change. Such regions are disproportionately in the tropics, raising the possibility that these ecosystems may be particularly vulnerable to future extinctions. Intrinsic risk provides a prehuman baseline for considering current threats to marine biodiversity.
英文关键词	biodiversity; extinction risk; fossil record; geographical distribution; paleobiology; paleoceanography; paleogeography; risk assessment; taxonomy; vulnerability; Article; attributable risk; biodiversity; biogeographic region; climate change; coastal waters; ecosystem; environmental change; fauna; fertility; fossil; geographic distribution; geographic mapping; geological time; glacial period; human; information; lifespan; marine species; Middle Miocene; Miocene; Neogene; nonhuman; Northern Hemisphere; paleontology; phylogeny; Pleistocene; priority journal; risk factor; sea; sea surface temperature; Southern Hemisphere; species extinction; taxonomic identification; tropics; Upper Miocene; animal; aquatic species; biodiversity; climate change; human activities; paleontology; risk; Animals; Aquatic Organisms; Biodiversity; Climate Change; Extinction, Biological; Fossils; Human Activities; Humans; Oceans and Seas; Paleontology; Risk
语种	英语
来源期刊	Science
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/243700
作者单位	Department of Integrative Biology, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, United States; Department of Biological Sciences, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, BC V5A 1S6, Canada; Department of Earth and Environment, Franklin and Marshall College, Lancaster, PA 17604, United States; Department of Paleobiology, National Museum of Natural History, Washington, DC 20013, United States; United Nations Environment Programme World Conservation Monitoring Centre, Cambridge, CB3 0DL, United Kingdom; Computational Science Laboratory, Microsoft Research, Cambridge, CB1 2FB, United Kingdom; Department of Biology, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS B3H 4R2, Canada; Department of Biology, University of Massachusetts, Boston, MA 02125, United States; Environmental Science Program, Mount Allison University, Sackville, NB E4L 1A5, Canada; Center for Ecological and Evolutionary Synthesis, Department of Biosciences, University of Oslo, Blindern, Oslo, N-0316, Norway; Department of Geology, College of William and ...
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Finnegan S.,Anderson S.C.,Harnik P.G.,et al. Paleontological baselines for evaluating extinction risk in the modern oceans[J],2015,348(6234).
APA	Finnegan S..,Anderson S.C..,Harnik P.G..,Simpson C..,Tittensor D.P..,...&Pandolfi J.M..(2015).Paleontological baselines for evaluating extinction risk in the modern oceans.Science,348(6234).
MLA	Finnegan S.,et al."Paleontological baselines for evaluating extinction risk in the modern oceans".Science 348.6234(2015).