气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Climate extremes: Observations, modeling, and impacts

CCPortal

DOI	10.1126/science.289.5487.2068
	Climate extremes: Observations, modeling, and impacts
	Easterling D.R.; Meehl G.A.; Parmesan C.; Changnon S.A.; Karl T.R.; Mearns L.O.
发表日期	2000
ISSN	0036-8075
起始页码	2068
结束页码	2074
卷号	289 期号:5487
英文摘要	One of the major concerns with a potential change in climate is that an increase in extreme events will occur. Results of observational studies suggest that in many areas that have been analyzed, changes in total precipitation are amplified at the tails, and changes in some temperature extremes have been observed. Model output has been analyzed that shows changes in extreme events for future climates, such as increases in extreme high temperatures, decreases in extreme low temperatures, and increases in intense precipitation events. In addition, the societal infrastructure is becoming more sensitive to weather and climate extremes, which would be exacerbated by climate change. In wild plants and animals, climate-induced extinctions, distributional and phenological changes, and species' range shifts are being documented at an increasing rate. Several apparently gradual biological changes are linked to responses to extreme weather and climate events.
英文关键词	climate change; extreme event; precipitation assessment; temperature anomaly; global climate; greenhouse effect; precipitation; priority journal; review; season; temperature; tropics; weather; Animal; Climate; Demography; Ecosystem; Human; Insurance; Models, Theoretical; Natural Disasters; Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.; Weather
语种	英语
来源期刊	Science
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/243596
作者单位	Natl. Oceanic/Atmospheric Admin., National Climatic Data Center, 151 Patton Avenue, Asheville, NC 28801, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Easterling D.R.,Meehl G.A.,Parmesan C.,et al. Climate extremes: Observations, modeling, and impacts[J],2000,289(5487).
APA	Easterling D.R.,Meehl G.A.,Parmesan C.,Changnon S.A.,Karl T.R.,&Mearns L.O..(2000).Climate extremes: Observations, modeling, and impacts.Science,289(5487).
MLA	Easterling D.R.,et al."Climate extremes: Observations, modeling, and impacts".Science 289.5487(2000).