气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Changes in ecologically critical terrestrial climate conditions

CCPortal

DOI	10.1126/science.1237123
	Changes in ecologically critical terrestrial climate conditions
	Diffenbaugh N.S.; Field C.B.
发表日期	2013
ISSN	0036-8075
起始页码	486
结束页码	492
卷号	341 期号:6145
英文摘要	Terrestrial ecosystems have encountered substantial warming over the past century, with temperatures increasing about twice as rapidly over land as over the oceans. Here, we review the likelihood of continued changes in terrestrial climate, including analyses of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project global climate model ensemble. Inertia toward continued emissions creates potential 21st-century global warming that is comparable in magnitude to that of the largest global changes in the past 65 million years but is orders of magnitude more rapid. The rate of warming implies a velocity of climate change and required range shifts of up to several kilometers per year, raising the prospect of daunting challenges for ecosystems, especially in the context of extensive land use and degradation, changes in frequency and severity of extreme events, and interactions with other stresses.
英文关键词	climate modeling; extreme event; global climate; global warming; land degradation; land use change; magnitude; temperature effect; terrestrial ecosystem; twenty first century; air temperature; burn; climate; climate change; deforestation; degradation; drought; ecosystem; environmental stress; global change; global climate; greenhouse effect; heat; land use; latitude; priority journal; review; sea level; seasonal variation; simulation; spring; summer; temperature; temperature stress; tropical rain forest; warming; winter
语种	英语
来源期刊	Science
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/243543
作者单位	Department of Environmental Earth System Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, United States; Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, United States; Department of Global Ecology, Carnegie Institution for Science, Stanford, CA 94305, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Diffenbaugh N.S.,Field C.B.. Changes in ecologically critical terrestrial climate conditions[J],2013,341(6145).
APA	Diffenbaugh N.S.,&Field C.B..(2013).Changes in ecologically critical terrestrial climate conditions.Science,341(6145).
MLA	Diffenbaugh N.S.,et al."Changes in ecologically critical terrestrial climate conditions".Science 341.6145(2013).