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DOI10.1126/science.aax2000
No consistent ENSO response to volcanic forcing over the last millennium
Dee S.G.; Cobb K.M.; Emile-Geay J.; Ault T.R.; Lawrence Edwards R.; Cheng H.; Charles C.D.
发表日期2020
ISSN0036-8075
起始页码1477
结束页码1481
卷号367期号:6485
英文摘要The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) shapes global climate patterns yet its sensitivity to external climate forcing remains uncertain. Modeling studies suggest that ENSO is sensitive to sulfate aerosol forcing associated with explosive volcanism but observational support for this effect remains ambiguous. Here, we used absolutely dated fossil corals from the central tropical Pacific to gauge ENSO’s response to large volcanic eruptions of the last millennium. Superposed epoch analysis reveals a weak tendency for an El Niño–like response in the year after an eruption, but this response is not statistically significant, nor does it appear after the outsized 1257 Samalas eruption. Our results suggest that those models showing a strong ENSO response to volcanic forcing may overestimate the size of the forced response relative to natural ENSO variability. © 2020 American Association for the Advancement of Science. All rights reserved.
英文关键词oxygen; aerosol formation; climate forcing; El Nino-Southern Oscillation; explosive volcanism; global climate; sulfate; volcanic eruption; aerosol; Article; climate; coral; El Nino; fossil; greenhouse effect; priority journal; signal noise ratio; simulation; volcanic forcing; volcano; Pacific Ocean; Anthozoa
语种英语
来源期刊Science
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/243498
作者单位Rice University, Department of Earth, Environmental, and Planetary Sciences, Houston, TX 77005, United States; School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30332, United States; Department of Earth Sciences, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089, United States; Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853, United States; Department of Earth Sciences, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN 55455, United States; Institute of Global Environmental Change, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, 710054, China; Scripps Institution of Oceanography, San Diego, CA 92037, United States
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Dee S.G.,Cobb K.M.,Emile-Geay J.,et al. No consistent ENSO response to volcanic forcing over the last millennium[J],2020,367(6485).
APA Dee S.G..,Cobb K.M..,Emile-Geay J..,Ault T.R..,Lawrence Edwards R..,...&Charles C.D..(2020).No consistent ENSO response to volcanic forcing over the last millennium.Science,367(6485).
MLA Dee S.G.,et al."No consistent ENSO response to volcanic forcing over the last millennium".Science 367.6485(2020).
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