气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Beyond predictions: Biodiversity conservation in a changing climate

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DOI	10.1126/science.1200303
	Beyond predictions: Biodiversity conservation in a changing climate
	Dawson T.P.; Jackson S.T.; House J.I.; Prentice I.C.; Mace G.M.
发表日期	2011
ISSN	0036-8075
起始页码	53
结束页码	58
卷号	332 期号:6025
英文摘要	Climate change is predicted to become a major threat to biodiversity in the 21st century, but accurate predictions and effective solutions have proved difficult to formulate. Alarming predictions have come from a rather narrow methodological base, but a new, integrated science of climate-change biodiversity assessment is emerging, based on multiple sources and approaches. Drawing on evidence from paleoecological observations, recent phenological and microevolutionary responses, experiments, and computational models, we review the insights that different approaches bring to anticipating and managing the biodiversity consequences of climate change, including the extent of species' natural resilience. We introduce a framework that uses information from different sources to identify vulnerability and to support the design of conservation responses. Although much of the information reviewed is on species, our framework and conclusions are also applicable to ecosystems, habitats, ecological communities, and genetic diversity, whether terrestrial, marine, or fresh water.
英文关键词	fresh water; biodiversity; climate change; habitat conservation; paleoecology; phenology; twenty first century; vulnerability; biodiversity; climate change; ecosystem resilience; genetic variability; marine biology; nonhuman; paleoecology; phenology; priority journal; review; species diversity; species habitat; Biodiversity; Climate Change; Conservation of Natural Resources
语种	英语
来源期刊	Science
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/243471
作者单位	School of the Environment, University of Dundee, Dundee DD1 4HN, United Kingdom; Department of Botany, Program in Ecology, University of Wyoming, Laramie, WY 82071, United States; QUEST, Department of Earth Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1RJ, United Kingdom; Grantham Institute for Climate Change, Division of Biology, Imperial College London, London SW7 2AZ, United Kingdom; Department of Biological Sciences, Macquarie University, North Ryde, NSW 2109, Australia; Centre for Population Biology, Imperial College London, Ascot SL5 7PY, United Kingdom
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Dawson T.P.,Jackson S.T.,House J.I.,et al. Beyond predictions: Biodiversity conservation in a changing climate[J],2011,332(6025).
APA	Dawson T.P.,Jackson S.T.,House J.I.,Prentice I.C.,&Mace G.M..(2011).Beyond predictions: Biodiversity conservation in a changing climate.Science,332(6025).
MLA	Dawson T.P.,et al."Beyond predictions: Biodiversity conservation in a changing climate".Science 332.6025(2011).