气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Future CO2 emissions and climate change from existing energy infrastructure

CCPortal

DOI	10.1126/science.1188566
	Future CO2 emissions and climate change from existing energy infrastructure
	Davis S.J.; Caldeira K.; Matthews H.D.
发表日期	2010
ISSN	0036-8075
起始页码	1330
结束页码	1333
卷号	329 期号:5997
英文摘要	Slowing climate change requires overcoming inertia in political, technological, and geophysical systems. Of these, only geophysical warming commitment has been quantified. We estimated the commitment to future emissions and warming represented by existing carbon dioxide - emitting devices. We calculated cumulative future emissions of 496 (282 to 701 in lower- and upper-bounding scenarios) gigatonnes of CO2 from combustion of fossil fuels by existing infrastructure between 2010 and 2060, forcing mean warming of 1.3°C (1.1° to 1.4°C) above the pre-industrial era and atmospheric concentrations of CO2 less than 430 parts per million. Because these conditions would likely avoid many key impacts of climate change, we conclude that sources of the most threatening emissions have yet to be built. However, CO2-emitting infrastructure will expand unless extraordinary efforts are undertaken to develop alternatives.
英文关键词	carbon dioxide; fossil fuel; natural gas; atmospheric pollution; carbon dioxide; combustion; concentration (composition); energy efficiency; fossil fuel; geophysics; global warming; identification key; industrial emission; political system; technological change; article; atmospheric deposition; biomass; building; carbon source; climate change; combustion; concentration (parameters); developing country; energy resource; environmental temperature; exhaust gas; greenhouse effect; greenhouse gas; industrialization; motor vehicle; nuclear power plant; priority journal
语种	英语
来源期刊	Science
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/243468
作者单位	Department of Global Ecology, Carnegie Institution of Washington, 260 Panama Street, Stanford, CA 94305, United States; Department of Geography, Planning and Environment, Concordia University, H 1255-26 (Hall Building), 1455 de Maisonneuve Boulevard West, Montreal, QC H3G 1M8, Canada
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Davis S.J.,Caldeira K.,Matthews H.D.. Future CO2 emissions and climate change from existing energy infrastructure[J],2010,329(5997).
APA	Davis S.J.,Caldeira K.,&Matthews H.D..(2010).Future CO2 emissions and climate change from existing energy infrastructure.Science,329(5997).
MLA	Davis S.J.,et al."Future CO2 emissions and climate change from existing energy infrastructure".Science 329.5997(2010).