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DOI | 10.1126/science.abb1702 |
Divergent impacts of warming weather on wildlife disease risk across climates | |
Cohen J.M.; Sauer E.L.; Santiago O.; Spencer S.; Rohr J.R. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 0036-8075 |
卷号 | 370期号:6519 |
英文摘要 | Disease outbreaks among wildlife have surged in recent decades alongside climate change, although it remains unclear how climate change alters disease dynamics across different geographic regions. We amassed a global, spatiotemporal dataset describing parasite prevalence across 7346 wildlife populations and 2021 host-parasite combinations, compiling local weather and climate records at each location. We found that hosts from cool and warm climates experienced increased disease risk at abnormally warm and cool temperatures, respectively, as predicted by the thermal mismatch hypothesis. This effect was greatest in ectothermic hosts and similar in terrestrial and freshwater systems. Projections based on climate change models indicate that ectothermic wildlife hosts from temperate and tropical zones may experience sharp increases and moderate reductions in disease risk, respectively, though the magnitude of these changes depends on parasite identity. © 2020 American Association for the Advancement of Science. All rights reserved. |
英文关键词 | fresh water; climate change; ectothermy; host-parasite interaction; risk assessment; spatiotemporal analysis; warming; wildlife management; Article; bacterial transmission; climate change; climate warming; cold acclimatization; environmental impact; environmental temperature; fungus transmission; helminth; host parasite interaction; immune response; infection risk; life history trait; nonhuman; outcome assessment; parasite transmission; prevalence; priority journal; species diversity; species habitat; virus transmission; wildlife; adaptation; animal; communicable disease; greenhouse effect; microbiology; parasitology; veterinary medicine; weather; wild animal; Adaptation, Biological; Animals; Animals, Wild; Communicable Diseases; Global Warming; Host-Parasite Interactions; Weather |
语种 | 英语 |
来源期刊 | Science |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/243363 |
作者单位 | Department of Integrative Biology, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL, United States; Department of Forest and Wildlife Ecology, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI, United States; Department of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN, United States |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Cohen J.M.,Sauer E.L.,Santiago O.,et al. Divergent impacts of warming weather on wildlife disease risk across climates[J],2020,370(6519). |
APA | Cohen J.M.,Sauer E.L.,Santiago O.,Spencer S.,&Rohr J.R..(2020).Divergent impacts of warming weather on wildlife disease risk across climates.Science,370(6519). |
MLA | Cohen J.M.,et al."Divergent impacts of warming weather on wildlife disease risk across climates".Science 370.6519(2020). |
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