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DOI | 10.1126/science.1228246 |
Highly variable El Niño-Southern Oscillation throughout the Holocene | |
Cobb K.M.; Westphal N.; Sayani H.R.; Watson J.T.; Di Lorenzo E.; Cheng H.; Edwards R.L.; Charles C.D. | |
发表日期 | 2013 |
ISSN | 0036-8075 |
起始页码 | 67 |
结束页码 | 70 |
卷号 | 339期号:6115 |
英文摘要 | The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) drives large changes in global climate patterns from year to year, yet its sensitivity to continued anthropogenic greenhouse forcing is uncertain. We analyzed fossil coral reconstructions of ENSO spanning the past 7000 years from the Northern Line Islands, located in the center of action for ENSO. The corals document highly variable ENSO activity, with no evidence for a systematic trend in ENSO variance, which is contrary to some models that exhibit a response to insolation forcing over this same period. Twentieth-century ENSO variance is significantly higher than average fossil coral ENSO variance but is not unprecedented. Our results suggest that forced changes in ENSO, whether natural or anthropogenic, may be difficult to detect against a background of large internal variability. |
英文关键词 | coral; El Nino-Southern Oscillation; fossil record; global climate; greenhouse effect; Holocene; insolation; paleoclimate; reconstruction; twentieth century; anthropology; article; El Nino; fossil energy; Holocene; priority journal; sunlight; Line Islands; Anthozoa |
语种 | 英语 |
来源期刊 | Science |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/243355 |
作者单位 | School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30332, United States; Scripps Institution of Oceanography, San Diego, CA 92037, United States; Institute of Global Environmental Change, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710049, China; Department of Earth Sciences, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN 55455, United States; Department of Earth Sciences, Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule, CH-8092 Zürich, Switzerland |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Cobb K.M.,Westphal N.,Sayani H.R.,et al. Highly variable El Niño-Southern Oscillation throughout the Holocene[J],2013,339(6115). |
APA | Cobb K.M..,Westphal N..,Sayani H.R..,Watson J.T..,Di Lorenzo E..,...&Charles C.D..(2013).Highly variable El Niño-Southern Oscillation throughout the Holocene.Science,339(6115). |
MLA | Cobb K.M.,et al."Highly variable El Niño-Southern Oscillation throughout the Holocene".Science 339.6115(2013). |
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