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DOI | 10.1038/s41558-021-01205-4 |
Risk transfer policies and climate-induced immobility among smallholder farmers | |
Choquette-Levy N.; Wildemeersch M.; Oppenheimer M.; Levin S.A. | |
发表日期 | 2021 |
ISSN | 1758678X |
起始页码 | 1046 |
结束页码 | 1054 |
卷号 | 11期号:12 |
英文摘要 | Climate change is anticipated to impact smallholder farmer livelihoods substantially. However, empirical evidence is inconclusive regarding how increased climate stress affects smallholder farmers’ deployment of various livelihood strategies, including rural–urban migration. Here we use an agent-based model to show that in a South Asian agricultural community experiencing a 1.5 oC temperature increase by 2050, climate impacts are likely to decrease household income in 2050 by an average of 28%, with fewer households investing in both economic migration and cash crops, relative to a stationary climate. Pairing a small cash transfer with risk transfer mechanisms significantly increases the adoption of migration and cash crops, improves community incomes and reduces community inequality. While specific results depend on contextual factors such as risk preferences and climate risk exposure, these interventions are robust in improving adaptation outcomes and alleviating immobility, by addressing the intersection of risk aversion, financial constraints and climate impacts. © 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited. |
英文关键词 | adaptive management; climate change; economic conditions; equity; household income; livelihood; risk assessment; smallholder |
语种 | 英语 |
来源期刊 | Nature Climate Change |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/243327 |
作者单位 | School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria; Department of Geosciences, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States; High Meadows Environmental Institute, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States; Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Choquette-Levy N.,Wildemeersch M.,Oppenheimer M.,et al. Risk transfer policies and climate-induced immobility among smallholder farmers[J],2021,11(12). |
APA | Choquette-Levy N.,Wildemeersch M.,Oppenheimer M.,&Levin S.A..(2021).Risk transfer policies and climate-induced immobility among smallholder farmers.Nature Climate Change,11(12). |
MLA | Choquette-Levy N.,et al."Risk transfer policies and climate-induced immobility among smallholder farmers".Nature Climate Change 11.12(2021). |
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