气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Global modeling of nature’s contributions to people

CCPortal

DOI	10.1126/science.aaw3372
	Global modeling of nature’s contributions to people
	Chaplin-Kramer R.; Sharp R.P.; Weil C.; Bennett E.M.; Pascual U.; Arkema K.K.; Brauman K.A.; Bryant B.P.; Guerry A.D.; Haddad N.M.; Hamann M.; Hamel P.; Johnson J.A.; Mandle L.; Pereira H.M.; Polasky S.; Ruckelshaus M.; Shaw M.R.; Silver J.M.; Vogl A.L.; Daily G.C.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	0036-8075
起始页码	255
结束页码	258
卷号	366 期号:6462
英文摘要	The magnitude and pace of global change demand rapid assessment of nature and its contributions to people. We present a fine-scale global modeling of current status and future scenarios for several contributions: water quality regulation, coastal risk reduction, and crop pollination. We find that where people’s needs for nature are now greatest, nature’s ability to meet those needs is declining. Up to 5 billion people face higher water pollution and insufficient pollination for nutrition under future scenarios of land use and climate change, particularly in Africa and South Asia. Hundreds of millions of people face heightened coastal risk across Africa, Eurasia, and the Americas. Continued loss of nature poses severe threats, yet these can be reduced 3- to 10-fold under a sustainable development scenario. © 2019 American Association for the Advancement of Science. All rights reserved.
英文关键词	climate change; global change; land use; modeling; nature-society relations; nutrition; sustainable development; Africa; article; climate change; human; land use; nutrition; pollination; South Asia; sustainable development; water pollution; Western Hemisphere; Africa; Central America; Eurasia; North America; South Africa; South Asia
语种	英语
来源期刊	Science
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/243272
作者单位	Natural Capital Project, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, United States; Institute on the Environment, University of Minnesota, Saint Paul, MN 55108, United States; Department of Natural Resource Sciences, McGill University, Sainte-Anne-de-Bellevue, QC H9X 3V9, Canada; Basque Centre for Climate Change, Scientific Campus of the University of the Basque Country, Leioa, Bilbao, 48940, Spain; Basque Foundation for Science, Ikerbasque, Bilbao, 48013, Spain; Centre for Development and Environment, University of Bern, Bern, 3012, Switzerland; School of Environmental and Forest Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, United States; Water in the West, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, United States; Kellogg Biological Station, Department of Integrative Biology, Hickory Corners, MI 49060, United States; Humphrey School of Public Affairs, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN 55455, United States; German...
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Chaplin-Kramer R.,Sharp R.P.,Weil C.,等. Global modeling of nature’s contributions to people[J],2019,366(6462).
APA	Chaplin-Kramer R..,Sharp R.P..,Weil C..,Bennett E.M..,Pascual U..,...&Daily G.C..(2019).Global modeling of nature’s contributions to people.Science,366(6462).
MLA	Chaplin-Kramer R.,et al."Global modeling of nature’s contributions to people".Science 366.6462(2019).