气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Mortality and greenhouse gas impacts of biomass and petroleum energy futures in Africa

CCPortal

DOI	10.1126/science.1106881
	Mortality and greenhouse gas impacts of biomass and petroleum energy futures in Africa
	Bailis R.; Ezzati M.; Kammen D.M.
发表日期	2005
ISSN	0036-8075
起始页码	98
结束页码	103
卷号	308 期号:5718
英文摘要	We analyzed the mortality impacts and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions produced by household energy use in Africa. Under a business-as-usual (BAU) scenario, household indoor air pollution will cause an estimated 9.8 million premature deaths by the year 2030. Gradual and rapid transitions to charcoal would delay 1.0 million and 2.8 million deaths, respectively; similar transitions to petroleum fuels would delay 1.3 million and 3.7 million deaths. Cumulative BAU GHG emissions will be 6.7 billion tons of carbon by 2050, which is 5.6% of Africa's total emissions. Large shifts to the use of fossil fuels would reduce GHG emissions by 1 to 10%. Charcoal-intensive future scenarios using current practices increase emissions by 140 to 190%; the increase can be reduced to 5 to 36% using currently available technologies for sustainable production or potentially reduced even more with investment in technological innovation.
英文关键词	Biomass; Charcoal; Energy utilization; Fossil fuel deposits; Greenhouse effect; Indoor air pollution; Petroleum industry; Sustainable development; Business-as-usual (BAU); Greenhouse gas (GHG) emission; Household energy use; Technological innovations; Environmental impact; biofuel; charcoal; fossil fuel; petroleum; carbon dioxide; climate change; greenhouse gas; mortality; sustainability; Africa; air pollution; ambient air; article; biomass; combustion; data analysis; energy resource; environmental sustainability; greenhouse gas; household; mortality; petrochemical industry; priority journal; adult; Africa south of the Sahara; biomass; child; chronic obstructive lung disease; cost; economics; factual database; female; forecasting; greenhouse effect; human; indoor air pollution; public health; respiratory tract infection; rural population; urban population; wood; Africa; Eastern Hemisphere; World; Adult; Africa South of the Sahara; Air Pollution, Indoor; Biomass; Carbon Dioxide; Charcoal; Child; Costs and Cost Analysis; Databases, Factual; Energy-Generating Resources; Female; Forecasting; Fossil Fuels; Greenhouse Effect; Humans; Mortality; Petroleum; Public Health; Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive; Respiratory Tract Infections; Rural Population; Urban Population; Wood
语种	英语
来源期刊	Science
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/242927
作者单位	Energy and Resources Group, University of Catifornia, Berkeley, CA 94720-3050, United States; Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115, United States; Goldman School of Public Policy, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720-3050, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Bailis R.,Ezzati M.,Kammen D.M.. Mortality and greenhouse gas impacts of biomass and petroleum energy futures in Africa[J],2005,308(5718).
APA	Bailis R.,Ezzati M.,&Kammen D.M..(2005).Mortality and greenhouse gas impacts of biomass and petroleum energy futures in Africa.Science,308(5718).
MLA	Bailis R.,et al."Mortality and greenhouse gas impacts of biomass and petroleum energy futures in Africa".Science 308.5718(2005).