气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Climate change and infectious diseases: From evidence to a predictive framework

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DOI	10.1126/science.1239401
	Climate change and infectious diseases: From evidence to a predictive framework
	Altizer S.; Ostfeld R.S.; Johnson P.T.J.; Kutz S.; Harvell C.D.
发表日期	2013
ISSN	0036-8075
起始页码	514
结束页码	519
卷号	341 期号:6145
英文摘要	Scientists have long predicted large-scale responses of infectious diseases to climate change, giving rise to a polarizing debate, especially concerning human pathogens for which socioeconomic drivers and control measures can limit the detection of climate-mediated changes. Climate change has already increased the occurrence of diseases in some natural and agricultural systems, but in many cases, outcomes depend on the form of climate change and details of the host-pathogen system. In this review, we highlight research progress and gaps that have emerged during the past decade and develop a predictive framework that integrates knowledge from ecophysiology and community ecology with modeling approaches. Future work must continue to anticipate and monitor pathogen biodiversity and disease trends in natural ecosystems and identify opportunities to mitigate the impacts of climate-driven disease emergence.
英文关键词	antiinfective agent; climate change; community ecology; disease prevalence; ecophysiology; farming system; host-pathogen interaction; infectious disease; regulatory framework; socioeconomic impact; antimicrobial therapy; biodiversity; Borrelia burgdorferi; climate change; community ecology; ecophysiology; greenhouse effect; host pathogen interaction; human; immunity; infection; microbial community; migratory species; nonhuman; phenology; priority journal; review; scientist; species extinction; vibriosis
语种	英语
来源期刊	Science
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/242816
作者单位	Odum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA 30602, United States; Cary Institute of Ecosystem Studies, 2801 Sharon Turnpike, Millbrook, NY 12545-0129, United States; Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, N122, CB334, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309-0334, United States; Department of Ecosystem and Public Health, University of Calgary, Canadian Cooperative Wildlife Health Centre, 3280 Hospital Drive, NW, Calgary, AB T2N 4Z6, Canada; Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, E321 Corson Hall, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Altizer S.,Ostfeld R.S.,Johnson P.T.J.,et al. Climate change and infectious diseases: From evidence to a predictive framework[J],2013,341(6145).
APA	Altizer S.,Ostfeld R.S.,Johnson P.T.J.,Kutz S.,&Harvell C.D..(2013).Climate change and infectious diseases: From evidence to a predictive framework.Science,341(6145).
MLA	Altizer S.,et al."Climate change and infectious diseases: From evidence to a predictive framework".Science 341.6145(2013).