气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Abrupt climate change

CCPortal

DOI	10.1126/science.1081056
	Abrupt climate change
	Alley R.B.; Marotzke J.; Nordhaus W.D.; Overpeck J.T.; Peteet D.M.; Pietke Jr. R.A.; Pierrehumbert R.T.; Rhines P.B.; Stocker T.F.; Tattey L.D.; Wallace J.M.
发表日期	2003
ISSN	0036-8075
起始页码	2005
结束页码	2010
卷号	299 期号:5615
英文摘要	Large, abrupt, and widespread climate changes with major impacts have occurred repeatedly in the past, when the Earth system was forced across thresholds. Although abrupt climate changes can occur for many reasons, it is conceivable that human forcing of climate change is increasing the probability of large, abrupt events. Were such an event to recur, the economic and ecological impacts could be large and potentially serious. Unpredictability exhibited near climate thresholds in simple models shows that some uncertainty will always be associated with projections. In light of these uncertainties, policy-makers should consider expanding research into abrupt climate change, improving monitoring systems, and taking actions designed to enhance the adaptability and resilience of ecosystems and economies.
英文关键词	Climatology; Earth (planet); Ecosystems; Environmental impact; Ecological impacts; Climate change; anthropogenic effect; climate change; economic impact; environmental impact; impact; climate change; ecology; economic aspect; evolution; global climate; history; prediction; priority journal; review
语种	英语
来源期刊	Science
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/242811
作者单位	Department of Geosciences, EMS Environment Institute, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, United States; Southampton Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton SO14 3ZH, United Kingdom; Department of Economics, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06520, United States; Inst. for the Study of Planet Earth, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, United States; L. D. Earth Observ. Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY 10964, United States; Ctr. for Sci./Technol. Plcy. Res., Coop. Inst. for Res. Environ. Sci., University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309, United States; Dept. of the Geophysical Sciences, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637, United States; Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, United States; Department of Oceanography, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, United States; Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern, 3012 Bern, Switzerland; Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University o...
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Alley R.B.,Marotzke J.,Nordhaus W.D.,et al. Abrupt climate change[J],2003,299(5615).
APA	Alley R.B..,Marotzke J..,Nordhaus W.D..,Overpeck J.T..,Peteet D.M..,...&Wallace J.M..(2003).Abrupt climate change.Science,299(5615).
MLA	Alley R.B.,et al."Abrupt climate change".Science 299.5615(2003).